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QuantConomy

Monthly market brief: Mar 19 – Apr 17, 2026

QuantConomy Monthly digest

Strong bullish signals are evident in MSFO and GREE, with significant price gains and material events filings. Meanwhile, strong bearish indicators are present in VICR, CNR, and FROG, marked by cluster selling and insider trades. Geopolitical tensions, particularly surrounding Iran and Trump, are also influencing market sentiment, with highly credible sources reporting negative developments.

Signals
20
Top stories
20
Insider trades
20
SEC filings
16
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups, RSI overbought and oversold conditions, and insider trades indicating significant market sentiment shifts.

Asset Signal Score Detail
PSG
neutral
volume
100
PSG/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Friday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
MSFO
YieldMax MSFT Option Income Strategy ETF
very bullish
price
100
MSFO uptrend (gain): price 8.37% (strength 100, current 12.82)
MGTX
MeiraGTx Plc
bullish
corporate event
100
MGTX filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 5 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
IOTA
very bullish
technical
94
IOTA/BTC RSI oversold at 5.8 (<30), strength 94
VICR
VICOR CORP
bearish
insider trade
90
Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for VICR worth $1.33M total - 7350 shares - [very strong bearish signal]
TRUMP
very bearish
news
89
Bloomberg reports highly negative developments for TRUMP — in Events / Economic Events / Geopolitical events / Terrorist Incidents — "What It Means If Trump Loses Control of His War" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
NWN
Northwest Natural Holding Co
bearish
sentiment divergence
64
Smart money divergence for NWN: 1 bullish news signals but 1 insider sell signals - insiders not buying the hype [moderate bearish signal]
TURBO
neutral
volume
100
TURBO/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Friday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
GREE
Greenidge Generation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
very bullish
price
100
GREE uptrend (gain): price 11.97% (strength 100, current 1.31)
MRCC
MONROE CAPITAL Corp
very bearish
corporate event
100
MRCC filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
DEXE
very bearish
technical
94
DEXE/USDT RSI overbought at 94.1 (>70), strength 94
—
Copper
very bearish
news
89
Bloomberg reports highly negative developments for Copper — in Sections / Business and Economics / Financial Markets / Commodities Market — "Goldman Warns on Copper as Iran War Threatens Global Economy" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
CNR
Core Natural Resources Inc
bearish
insider trade
81
Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for CNR worth $4122874105000.10M total - 10000 shares - [very strong bearish signal]
RH
bullish
sentiment divergence
64
Smart money divergence for RH: 1 bearish news signals but 1 insider buy signals - insiders buying the dip [moderate bullish signal]
SHIB
neutral
volume
100
SHIB/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 3% of expected volume for Friday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.16% (strength 100)
ICCM
IceCure Medical Ltd. Ordinary Shares
very bullish
price
100
ICCM uptrend (gain): price 12.99% (strength 100, current 0.3541)
HRZN
Horizon Technology Finance Corp
bullish
corporate event
100
HRZN filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Director or Officer Changes - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
1000SATS
very bearish
technical
94
1000SATS/USDC RSI overbought at 94.0 (>70), strength 94
AC
Air Canada
very bearish
news
89
BBC reports highly negative developments for AC — in Events / Corporate Events / Corporate Structure and Governance Events / Workforce Changes / Layoffs — "Air Canada CEO 'deeply saddened' his poor French skills distracted from victims of crash" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
FROG
JFrog Ltd
bearish
insider trade
78
Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for FROG worth $19093511300001.13M total - 25000 shares - [strong bearish signal]

Top stories

Clusters of insider selling and buying activity are detected, indicating potential market sentiment shifts.

Insider filings

Insider filings show a mix of purchases, sales, and grants across various companies, with notable large transactions.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
REEMF Synchron purchase $2407160.2B 2026-03-10
SCKT BASS CHARLIE purchase $177.8B 2026-03-27
PAM Sigwald Carolina VP legal affairs grant $8.8B 2026-03-25
AGRZ Chaudhry Muhammad Arshad other $4.0B 2025-12-03
SBLK Zagari Raffaele sale $2.6B 2026-03-31
PAM de la Fuente Mariana HR Director grant $1.6B 2026-03-10
SVRE VisionWave Holdings, Inc. purchase $665.9M 2026-03-23
IEP ICAHN CARL C other $249.7M 2026-04-15
SMR FLUOR CORP sale $162.9M 2026-04-09
ASTS Mikitani Hiroshi sale $154.5M 2026-04-14
SMR FLUOR CORP sale $150.4M 2026-04-15
SVRE VisionWave Holdings, Inc. purchase $148.3M 2026-03-30
STUB WestCap Management, LLC other $147.0M 2026-03-17
CHTR Liberty Broadband Corp other $142.7M 2026-04-02
CAR Pentwater Capital Management LP other $136.0M 2026-03-20
ASX Chang Chien Shen exercise $123.3M 2026-04-09
APG FRANKLIN MARTIN E sale $122.6M 2026-03-19
TRON SUN Weike grant $110.0M 2025-08-27
GRDN BINDLEY WILLIAM E Director sale $106.0M 2026-03-20
GRDN Bindley Capital Partners I, LLC sale $106.0M 2026-03-20

SEC filings radar

SEC filings include significant stakes, proposed sales, and financial reports from major companies and ETFs.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
13D/G — Banzai International, Inc. - SC_13D Banzai International, Inc. 100% stake 2026-04-06
13D/G — iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF 100% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF 100% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF 100% stake 2026-03-31
Form 144 — BARCLAYS BANK PLC - PT CAHAYA RAKA KARSANA BARCLAYS BANK PLC $2.0B proposed sale 2026-04-15
Form 144 — NVIDIA CORP - MARK A STEVENS NVIDIA CORP $303.6M proposed sale 2026-03-20
Form 144 — BARCLAYS BANK PLC - PT CAHAYA RAKA KARSANA BARCLAYS BANK PLC $250.0M proposed sale 2026-04-13
Form 144 — Cogent Biosciences, Inc. - Fairmount Healthcare Fund II L.P. Cogent Biosciences, Inc. $242.6M proposed sale 2026-04-01
13F — GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC - 13F GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC $815.4B portfolio, 13077 positions 2025-12-31
13F — BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC $461.2B portfolio, 11877 positions 2025-09-30
13F — BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC $376.8B portfolio, 9207 positions 2025-09-30
13F — BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC $376.8B portfolio, 9207 positions 2024-09-30
Financial report — FDCTECH, INC. - 10-K - FY FDCTECH, INC. FY 2025 2026-04-17
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report CAPS CAPS - 10-K/A - FY Capstone Holding Corp. FY 2024 2026-04-17
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08

Prediction markets

Prediction markets show high consensus on US-Iran and Russia-Ukraine ceasefires, with low consensus on FIFA World Cup outcomes.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? 0.2% $283.8M polymarket 2026-05-01 00:35 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30? 100% $268.9M polymarket 2026-04-09 00:34 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? 100% $173.5M polymarket 2026-04-11 00:29 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $129.3M polymarket 2026-07-11 00:13 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6% $127.0M polymarket 2026-07-11 02:45 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18.3% $123.1M polymarket 2026-07-11 02:45 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.7% $122.8M polymarket 2026-07-11 02:45 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 37.3% $110.2M polymarket 2026-07-11 02:45 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC

In the news

Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.

Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice. New here? Learn what each signal means .

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