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QuantConomy

Monthly market brief: Mar 11 – Apr 9, 2026

QuantConomy Monthly digest

Strong signals point to significant market movements driven by insider buying and selling, with notable bullish clusters for LOAR and KRRO, and bearish clusters for AL and VICR. The market is also influenced by highly credible sources like Bloomberg, reporting both positive developments for BMW and negative ones for BML.PRL and TRUMP.

Signals
20
Top stories
20
Insider trades
20
SEC filings
16
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups, insider cluster trades, and highly credible Bloomberg reports.

Asset Signal Score Detail
ABTC
American Bitcoin Corp. Class A Common Stock
bullish
volume
100
ABTC sustained volume dry-up: 7% of expected volume for Friday 14:00 UTC, price up 3.37% (strength 100)
ASM
Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada)
very bearish
price
100
ASM downtrend (drop): price -5.87% (strength 100, current 7.05)
SEE
SEALED AIR CORP
very bearish
corporate event
100
SEE filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 7 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
BMW
very bullish
news
91
Bloomberg reports highly positive developments for BMW — in Products / Tesla Model 3 — "BMW’s Best-Selling Model Is Getting an Electric Reboot" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
LOAR
Loar Inc
bullish
insider trade
90
Cluster buying detected: 3 insider trades for LOAR worth $22919422919412.55M total - 20000 shares - [very strong bullish signal]
BNB
bullish
technical
90
BNB/BRL MACD bullish crossover, histogram 1.277224, strength 90
NWN
Northwest Natural Holding Co
bearish
sentiment divergence
64
Smart money divergence for NWN: 1 bullish news signals but 1 insider sell signals - insiders not buying the hype [moderate bearish signal]
XLM
slightly bullish
volume
100
XLM/EUR sustained volume dry-up: 4% of expected volume for Friday 14:00 UTC, price up 1.25% (strength 100)
LFMD
LifeMD, Inc. Common Stock
very bullish
price
100
LFMD uptrend (gain): price 7.18% (strength 100, current 4.18)
AL
AIR LEASE CORP
very bearish
corporate event
100
AL filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 9 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
VICR
VICOR CORP
bearish
insider trade
90
Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for VICR worth $1.33M total - 7350 shares - [very strong bearish signal]
BML.PRL
Bank of America
very bearish
news
89
Bloomberg reports highly negative developments for BML.PRL — in Events / Economic Events / Economic Report Releases / PPI Report Releases — "Economy Loses Steam, Adobe CEO Exits After 18 Years" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
USDT
very bullish
technical
89
USDT/COP RSI oversold at 11.4 (<30), strength 89
WULF
TERAWULF INC
bearish
sentiment divergence
64
Smart money divergence for WULF: 1 bullish news signals but 1 insider sell signals - insiders not buying the hype [moderate bearish signal]
TST
slightly bullish
volume
100
TST/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Friday 14:00 UTC, price up 3.00% (strength 100)
HBAR
very bullish
price
100
HBAR/FDUSD uptrend (gain): price 5.63% (strength 100, current 0.09939)
HOLX
HOLOGIC INC
very bearish
corporate event
100
HOLX filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 8 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
TRUMP
very bearish
news
89
Bloomberg reports highly negative developments for TRUMP — in Events / Economic Events / Geopolitical events / Terrorist Incidents — "What It Means If Trump Loses Control of His War" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
KRRO
Korro Bio Inc
very bullish
insider trade
87
Cluster buying detected: 6 insider trades for KRRO worth $2.300881230088123e+36M total - 207100 shares - [very strong very bullish signal]
FIL
slightly bullish
technical
87
FIL/TRY touching lower Bollinger Band, %B -22.8%, strength 87

Top stories

Clusters indicate strong buying or selling activity by insiders, with one instance of very strong bullish signal.

Insider filings

Insider filings show large purchases and sales by high-level executives across multiple companies.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
REEMF Synchron purchase $2407160.2B 2026-03-10
REEMF BLUE JAMES N purchase $2407160.2B 2026-03-10
SCKT BASS CHARLIE purchase $177.8B 2026-03-27
PAM Sigwald Carolina VP legal affairs grant $8.8B 2026-03-25
AGRZ Chaudhry Muhammad Arshad other $4.0B 2025-12-03
SBLK Zagari Raffaele sale $2.6B 2026-03-31
FANG SGF FANG Holdings, LP sale $2.2B 2026-03-12
PAM de la Fuente Mariana HR Director grant $1.6B 2026-03-10
MDLN TC Group Cayman Investment Holdings, L.P. sale $1.1B 2026-03-10
MDLN CP Circle ML Holdco GP, LLC sale $1.1B 2026-03-10
MDLN Carlyle Mozart Coinvestment Holdings, L.P. sale $1.1B 2026-03-10
MDLN Carlyle Group Inc. sale $1.1B 2026-03-10
SVRE VisionWave Holdings, Inc. purchase $688.7M 2026-03-11
MDLN BX Mozart ML-2 Holdco L.P. sale $667.5M 2026-03-10
MDLN BCP 8 Holdings Mozart Manager L.L.C. sale $667.5M 2026-03-10
SVRE VisionWave Holdings, Inc. purchase $665.9M 2026-03-23
MDLN Hellman & Friedman Capital Partners X (Parallel), L.P. sale $593.0M 2026-03-10
INGM PLATINUM EQUITY, LLC sale $267.0M 2026-03-09
CRC CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD sale $213.8M 2026-03-12
RELY NASPERS LTD sale $191.8M 2026-03-12

SEC filings radar

SEC filings include significant stakes in ETFs and large proposed sales by major corporations.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
13D/G — iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF 100% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF 100% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF 100% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund - SC_13D Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund 100% stake 2026-04-02
Form 144 — HERSHEY CO - HERSHEY TRUST CO TRUSTEE IN TRUST FOR MILTON HERSHEY SCHOOL HERSHEY CO $439.8M proposed sale 2026-03-16
Form 144 — NVIDIA CORP - MARK A STEVENS NVIDIA CORP $303.6M proposed sale 2026-03-20
Form 144 — Cogent Biosciences, Inc. - Fairmount Healthcare Fund II L.P. Cogent Biosciences, Inc. $242.6M proposed sale 2026-04-01
Form 144 — UWMC Holdings Corporation - SFS Holding Corp UWMC Holdings Corporation $230.7M proposed sale 2026-03-16
13F — GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC - 13F GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC $815.4B portfolio, 13077 positions 2025-12-31
13F — BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC $461.2B portfolio, 11877 positions 2025-09-30
13F — BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC $376.8B portfolio, 9207 positions 2025-09-30
13F — BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC $376.8B portfolio, 9207 positions 2024-09-30
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K/A Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08

Prediction markets

Prediction markets show near-certainty on US-Iran and Russia-Ukraine ceasefires, with high interest in FIFA World Cup outcomes.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? 0.2% $283.8M polymarket 2026-05-01 00:35 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30? 100% $268.9M polymarket 2026-04-09 00:34 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? 100% $173.5M polymarket 2026-04-11 00:29 UTC
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? 0.1% $173.2M polymarket 2026-03-18 21:20 UTC
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? 0.1% $173.0M polymarket 2026-03-18 21:20 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $127.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.3% $125.9M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18.2% $122.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 39.6% $109.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC

In the news

Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.

Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice. New here? Learn what each signal means .

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