Monthly market brief: Mar 18 – Apr 16, 2026
QuantConomy Monthly digest
Strong bullish signals are evident in MGTX and HRZN, with significant material events filings and insider buys. Meanwhile, bearish indicators are prevalent, particularly in MDAI, MRCC, and CNR, driven by insider selling and overbought RSI levels. Market context: these signals reflect a mixed sentiment with clear areas of focus for both bulls and bears.
- Signals
- 20
- Top stories
- 20
- Insider trades
- 20
- SEC filings
- 16
- Prediction markets
- 20
- News
- 20
Strongest signals
Strong bullish and bearish signals are present, including material events, insider trades, and volume dry-ups.
| Asset | Signal | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidia Corporation Common Stock | neutral | 100 | LQDA sustained volume dry-up: 9% of expected volume for Thursday 18:00 UTC, price flat 0.13% (strength 100) |
| Spectral AI, Inc. Class A Common Stock | very bearish | 100 | MDAI downtrend (drop): price -5.29% (strength 100, current 1.88) |
| MeiraGTx Plc | bullish | 100 | MGTX filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 5 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bullish | 94 | IOTA/BTC RSI oversold at 5.8 (<30), strength 94 | |
| very bullish | 91 | Bloomberg reports highly positive developments for BMW — in Products / Tesla Model 3 — "BMW’s Best-Selling Model Is Getting an Electric Reboot" — [very strong signal from highly credible source] | |
| VICOR CORP | bearish | 90 | Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for VICR worth $1.33M total - 7350 shares - [very strong bearish signal] |
| Northwest Natural Holding Co | bearish | 64 | Smart money divergence for NWN: 1 bullish news signals but 1 insider sell signals - insiders not buying the hype [moderate bearish signal] |
| neutral | 100 | CATI/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 18:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish | 100 | CATI/USDT uptrend (gain): price 12.24% (strength 100, current 0.0486) | |
| MONROE CAPITAL Corp | very bearish | 100 | MRCC filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bearish | 94 | DEXE/USDT RSI overbought at 94.1 (>70), strength 94 | |
| very bearish | 89 | Bloomberg reports highly negative developments for TRUMP — in Events / Economic Events / Geopolitical events / Terrorist Incidents — "What It Means If Trump Loses Control of His War" — [very strong signal from highly credible source] | |
| Core Natural Resources Inc | bearish | 81 | Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for CNR worth $4122874105000.10M total - 10000 shares - [very strong bearish signal] |
| bullish | 64 | Smart money divergence for RH: 1 bearish news signals but 1 insider buy signals - insiders buying the dip [moderate bullish signal] | |
| Equinor ASA American Depositary Shares (Each Representing One Ordinary Share, nominal value NOK 2.50 per share) | neutral | 100 | EQNR sustained volume dry-up: 14% of expected volume for Thursday 18:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) |
| very bullish | 100 | NOT/USDT uptrend (gain): price 9.14% (strength 100, current 0.00043) | |
| Horizon Technology Finance Corp | bullish | 100 | HRZN filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Director or Officer Changes - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bearish | 93 | DASH/BTC RSI overbought at 93.4 (>70), strength 93 | |
| — Copper | very bearish | 89 | Bloomberg reports highly negative developments for Copper — in Sections / Business and Economics / Financial Markets / Commodities Market — "Goldman Warns on Copper as Iran War Threatens Global Economy" — [very strong signal from highly credible source] |
| JFrog Ltd | bearish | 78 | Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for FROG worth $19093511300001.13M total - 25000 shares - [strong bearish signal] |
Top stories
Clusters indicate strong bearish signals through multiple insider trades and bullish signals through material events.
- 154 articles
- 67 articles
- 59 articles
- 56 articles
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Insider filings
Insider trades show a mix of purchases, sales, and grants across various companies, with significant amounts involved.
| Ticker | Insider | Type | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REEMF | Synchron | purchase | $2407160.2B | 2026-03-10 |
| SCKT | BASS CHARLIE | purchase | $177.8B | 2026-03-27 |
| PAM | Sigwald Carolina VP legal affairs | grant | $8.8B | 2026-03-25 |
| AGRZ | Chaudhry Muhammad Arshad | other | $4.0B | 2025-12-03 |
| SBLK | Zagari Raffaele | sale | $2.6B | 2026-03-31 |
| PAM | de la Fuente Mariana HR Director | grant | $1.6B | 2026-03-10 |
| SVRE | VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | purchase | $665.9M | 2026-03-23 |
| SMR | FLUOR CORP | sale | $162.9M | 2026-04-09 |
| SVRE | VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | purchase | $148.3M | 2026-03-30 |
| STUB | WestCap Management, LLC | other | $147.0M | 2026-03-17 |
| CHTR | Liberty Broadband Corp | other | $142.7M | 2026-04-02 |
| CAR | Pentwater Capital Management LP | other | $136.0M | 2026-03-20 |
| ASX | Chang Chien Shen | exercise | $123.3M | 2026-04-09 |
| APG | FRANKLIN MARTIN E | sale | $122.6M | 2026-03-19 |
| TRON | SUN Weike | grant | $110.0M | 2025-08-27 |
| GRDN | BINDLEY WILLIAM E Director | sale | $106.0M | 2026-03-20 |
| GRDN | Bindley Capital Partners I, LLC | sale | $106.0M | 2026-03-20 |
| GRDN | Salentine Thomas J Jr Director | sale | $106.0M | 2026-03-20 |
| AL | UDVAR-HAZY STEVEN F Director | other | $86.2M | 2026-04-08 |
| MBAV | CANTOR FITZGERALD, L. P. | sale | $84.0M | 2026-03-24 |
SEC filings radar
SEC filings include large-scale stake acquisitions, proposed sales, and financial reports from major companies and ETFs.
| Kind | Ticker | Filing | Detail | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13D/G | — | Banzai International, Inc. - SC_13D Banzai International, Inc. | 100% stake | 2026-04-06 |
| 13D/G | — | iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF | 100% stake | 2026-03-31 |
| 13D/G | — | iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF | 100% stake | 2026-03-31 |
| 13D/G | — | iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF | 100% stake | 2026-03-31 |
| Form 144 | — | BARCLAYS BANK PLC - PT CAHAYA RAKA KARSANA BARCLAYS BANK PLC | $2.0B proposed sale | 2026-04-15 |
| Form 144 | — | NVIDIA CORP - MARK A STEVENS NVIDIA CORP | $303.6M proposed sale | 2026-03-20 |
| Form 144 | — | BARCLAYS BANK PLC - PT CAHAYA RAKA KARSANA BARCLAYS BANK PLC | $250.0M proposed sale | 2026-04-13 |
| Form 144 | — | Cogent Biosciences, Inc. - Fairmount Healthcare Fund II L.P. Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | $242.6M proposed sale | 2026-04-01 |
| 13F | — | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC - 13F GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | $815.4B portfolio, 13077 positions | 2025-12-31 |
| 13F | — | BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC | $461.2B portfolio, 11877 positions | 2025-09-30 |
| 13F | — | BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC | $376.8B portfolio, 9207 positions | 2025-09-30 |
| 13F | — | BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC | $376.8B portfolio, 9207 positions | 2024-09-30 |
| Financial report | — | ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. - 10-K - FY ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. | FY 2025 | 2026-04-16 |
| Financial report | DAIO | DAIO - 10-K - FY DATA I/O CORPORATION | FY 2025 | 2026-04-16 |
| Financial report | — | Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company | — | 2026-05-08 |
| Financial report | — | Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company | — | 2026-05-08 |
Prediction markets
Prediction markets are dominated by high-confidence events with low volumes, such as geopolitical and sports outcomes.
| Question | Yes | Volume | Platform | Snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 0.3% | $363.8M | polymarket | 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | 0.2% | $283.8M | polymarket | 2026-05-01 00:35 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 100% | $268.9M | polymarket | 2026-04-09 00:34 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | 100% | $173.5M | polymarket | 2026-04-11 00:29 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | $173.2M | polymarket | 2026-03-18 21:20 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | 0.1% | $173.0M | polymarket | 2026-03-18 21:20 UTC |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $158.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $152.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $142.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 100% | $138.4M | polymarket | 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $137.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2.2% | $127.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6.3% | $125.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 18.2% | $122.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1.8% | $121.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $119.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $111.7M | polymarket | 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 39.6% | $109.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC |
In the news
Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.
- 2026-04-16 australian
- 2026-04-16 profrac-holding-corpaustralianglobal
- 2026-04-16 mesa-air-inc
- 2026-04-16 grid-battery-metals-inc
- positive2026-04-16 soybeans
- 2026-04-16 australianglobal
- 2026-04-16 fredonia-mining-inc
- 2026-04-16 china
- 2026-04-16 meridian-bioscience-inc
- negative2026-04-16 patterson-uti-energy-inc
- positive2026-04-16 wheat
- positive2026-04-16 soybeans
- neutral2026-04-16 remark-inc
- 2026-04-16 live-ventures-inc
- 2026-04-16 new-america-energy-corp
- 2026-04-16 meridian-bioscience-inc
- 2026-04-16 power-solutions-international-incpower
- 2026-04-16 power-solutions-international-incnextdecade-corppower
- 2026-04-16 snowflake-inc
- 2026-04-16 snowflake-incnextdecade-corp
Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record;
the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice. New here? Learn what each signal means
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