Skip to content
QuantConomy

Monthly market brief: Apr 8 – May 7, 2026

QuantConomy Monthly digest

Strong bullish signals are evident in several assets including SHPH, PSUS, and HWH, driven by material agreements, insider buying, and overbought RSI conditions. Meanwhile, bearish signals are highlighted by CTRA and TRUMP, with TRUMP showing an oversold RSI condition. The market context is shaped by geopolitical tensions, particularly around Iran, and positive developments in gold, as reported by credible sources.

Signals
20
Top stories
20
Insider trades
20
SEC filings
16
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong bullish signals include sustained volume dry-ups and overbought RSI readings, while bearish signals are marked by oversold RSI and negative news reports.

Asset Signal Score Detail
AAVE
neutral
volume
100
AAVE/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.29% (strength 100)
TST
very bearish
price
100
TST/TRY downtrend (drop): price -10.72% (strength 100, current 1.124)
SHPH
Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
SHPH filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Unregistered Sales of Equity - 5 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
CETUS
very bearish
technical
97
CETUS/USDT RSI overbought at 96.9 (>70), strength 97
PSUS
Pershing Square USA, Ltd
very bullish
insider trade
85
Cluster buying detected: 7 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.7500000010000048e+47M total - 96000000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal]
—
Gold
very bullish
news
82
CNBC reports highly positive developments for Gold — in Finance / Stock Picks — "Best places to buy physical gold if you're looking to diversify your portfolio" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
RH
bullish
sentiment divergence
64
Smart money divergence for RH: 1 bearish news signals but 1 insider buy signals - insiders buying the dip [moderate bullish signal]
BROCCOLI714
slightly bullish
volume
100
BROCCOLI714/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price up 1.17% (strength 100)
TST
very bullish
price
100
TST/USDT uptrend (gain): price 19.10% (strength 100, current 0.027)
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
CTRA filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
TRUMP
very bullish
technical
95
TRUMP/USDT RSI oversold at 4.8 (<30), strength 95
—
Iron Ore
bearish
news
80
Bloomberg reports negative developments for Iron Ore — in Assets / Commodities / Ferrous Metals / Iron Ore (Fe) — "Iron Ore Slides After Incoming BHP Chief Sighted in Beijing" — [very strong signal from highly credible source]
PSUS
Pershing Square USA, Ltd
bullish
insider trade
80
Cluster buying detected: 3 insider trades for PSUS worth $17500000010000050.00M total - 100000 shares - [very strong bullish signal]
DBD
DIEBOLD NIXDORF Inc
bearish
sentiment divergence
62
Smart money divergence for DBD: 1 bullish news signals but 1 insider sell signals - insiders not buying the hype [moderate bearish signal]
GRT
slightly bullish
volume
100
GRT/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price up 0.77% (strength 100)
TST
very bullish
price
100
TST/TRY uptrend (gain): price 7.58% (strength 100, current 1.348)
HWH
HWH International Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
HWH filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Director or Officer Changes - 3 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
IOTA
very bullish
technical
94
IOTA/BTC RSI oversold at 5.8 (<30), strength 94
PSUS
Pershing Square USA, Ltd
very bullish
insider trade
80
Cluster buying detected: 6 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.750000001000005e+39M total - 100000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal]
FARTCOIN
very bearish
news
79
CoinDesk reports highly negative developments for FARTCOIN — in Events / Corporate Events / Corporate Structure and Governance Events / Reverse Stock Splits — "Fartcoin's price crashed 50% after $145 million manipulation bet went wrong" — [strong signal from credible source]

Top stories

Clusters of buying activity are detected in insider trades for PSUS, indicating strong bullish sentiment.

Insider filings

Multiple large-scale insider sales and purchases across various companies, with significant activity in CRWV and PSUS.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $619.6B 2026-04-15
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $613.5B 2026-04-22
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $582.6B 2026-04-29
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $146.4B 2026-05-04
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $36.4B 2026-05-01
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $13.8B 2026-05-05
PSUS Pershing Square Management, LLC Director grant $4.8B 2026-04-30
SVRE VisionWave Holdings, Inc. purchase $4.3B 2026-04-28
RIVN VOLKSWAGEN AG purchase $999.9M 2026-04-30
LCID PUBLIC INVESTMENT FUND purchase $550.0M 2026-04-28
JEF SUMITOMO MITSUI FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Director purchase $310.0M 2026-05-01
DAWN AI Day1 LLC other $278.0M 2026-04-23
IEP ICAHN CARL C other $249.7M 2026-04-15
NOW McDermott William R Chairman & CEO grant $242.1M 2026-04-29
SXT Winder Pte. Ltd. sale $233.4M 2026-04-30
RDW AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC sale $231.8M 2026-04-22
CAR Pentwater Capital Management LP sale $223.1M 2026-04-22
CHTR Rutledge Thomas exercise $201.6M 2026-04-21
DVA BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC sale $182.9M 2026-05-01
PSUS ACKMAN WILLIAM A Chief Executive Officer purchase $175.0M 2026-04-30

SEC filings radar

SEC filings show concentrated stakes and large proposed sales, with UBS Group AG and Bank of New York Mellon Corp leading in portfolio size.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
13D/G — Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II - SC_13D Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II 100% stake 2026-04-30
13D/G — Staffing 360 Solutions, Inc. - SC_13D Staffing 360 Solutions, Inc. 100% stake 2026-04-27
13D/G — Arcellx, Inc. - SC_13D Arcellx, Inc. 100% stake 2026-04-28
13D/G — Banzai International, Inc. - SC_13D Banzai International, Inc. 100% stake 2026-04-06
Form 144 — BARCLAYS BANK PLC - PT CAHAYA RAKA KARSANA BARCLAYS BANK PLC $2.0B proposed sale 2026-04-15
Form 144 — CARVANA CO. - GARCIA ERNEST C. II CARVANA CO. $1.6B proposed sale 2026-05-01
Form 144 — Crescent Energy Company - Liberty Mutual Foundation Inc. Crescent Energy Company $427.1M proposed sale 2026-05-07
Form 144 — Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. - Johnson Joseph T Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. $415.7M proposed sale 2026-05-06
13F — UBS Group AG - 13F UBS Group AG $666.3B portfolio, 22771 positions 2026-03-31
13F — Bank of New York Mellon Corp - 13F Bank of New York Mellon Corp $543.9B portfolio, 33728 positions 2026-03-31
13F — DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP - 13F DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP $481.4B portfolio, 13635 positions 2026-03-31
13F — LPL Financial LLC - 13F LPL Financial LLC $376.6B portfolio, 5964 positions 2026-03-31
Financial report OSBC OSBC - 10-Q - Q1 OLD SECOND BANCORP INC Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Financial report MG MG - 10-Q - Q1 Mistras Group,&#160;Inc. Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Financial report FWONA FWONA - 10-Q - Q1 LIBERTY MEDIA CORPORATION Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Financial report IBOC IBOC - 10-Q - Q1 INTERNATIONAL BANCSHARES CORPORATION Q1 2026 2026-05-07

Prediction markets

Prediction markets are dominated by high-confidence outcomes on geopolitical events and sports, with FIFA World Cup bets showing strong support for France.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? 0.2% $283.8M polymarket 2026-05-01 00:35 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30? 100% $268.9M polymarket 2026-04-09 00:34 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $127.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:01 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.3% $125.9M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:01 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18.2% $122.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:01 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:01 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 39.6% $109.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 20:01 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $104.7M polymarket 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC

In the news

Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.

Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice. New here? Learn what each signal means .

Get the brief in your inbox

Ranked, source-linked signals for your dashboard and your AI agents. Early access is opening in stages.

Join early access Build your own with MCP