Monthly market brief: Mar 25 – Apr 23, 2026
QuantConomy Monthly digest
Strong signals point to significant market movements across various assets, including THETA/BTC and MORPHO/USDT, with notable insider selling in VICR and FROG, and highly negative developments reported for companies like Air Canada and AC. These events, combined with prediction market trends and insider filings, paint a complex picture of both bullish and bearish sentiments.
- Signals
- 20
- Top stories
- 20
- Insider trades
- 20
- SEC filings
- 16
- Prediction markets
- 20
- News
- 20
Strongest signals
Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups and RSI readings indicating overbought or oversold conditions, alongside insider and SEC filings indicating significant market movements and sentiment.
| Asset | Signal | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| neutral | 100 | THETA/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bearish | 100 | MORPHO/USDT:USDT downtrend (drop): price -6.50% (strength 100, current 1.914) | |
| Motorsport Games Inc | bullish | 100 | MSGM filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Modification to Rights of Security Holders - 5 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bullish | 94 | IOTA/BTC RSI oversold at 5.8 (<30), strength 94 | |
| VICOR CORP | bearish | 90 | Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for VICR worth $1.33M total - 7350 shares - [very strong bearish signal] |
| — Copper | very bearish | 89 | Bloomberg reports highly negative developments for Copper — in Sections / Business and Economics / Financial Markets / Commodities Market — "Goldman Warns on Copper as Iran War Threatens Global Economy" — [very strong signal from highly credible source] |
| Northwest Natural Holding Co | bearish | 64 | Smart money divergence for NWN: 1 bullish news signals but 1 insider sell signals - insiders not buying the hype [moderate bearish signal] |
| neutral | 100 | CELO/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish | 100 | CELO/TRY uptrend (gain): price 16.94% (strength 100, current 3.976) | |
| Day One Biopharmaceuticals Inc | very bearish | 100 | DAWN filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bearish | 94 | DEXE/USDT RSI overbought at 94.1 (>70), strength 94 | |
| Air Canada | very bearish | 89 | BBC reports highly negative developments for AC — in Events / Corporate Events / Corporate Structure and Governance Events / Workforce Changes / Layoffs — "Air Canada CEO 'deeply saddened' his poor French skills distracted from victims of crash" — [very strong signal from highly credible source] |
| JFrog Ltd | bearish | 78 | Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for FROG worth $19093511300001.13M total - 25000 shares - [strong bearish signal] |
| bullish | 64 | Smart money divergence for RH: 1 bearish news signals but 1 insider buy signals - insiders buying the dip [moderate bullish signal] | |
| neutral | 100 | WLFI/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish | 100 | FLOKI/USDT uptrend (gain): price 7.71% (strength 100, current 0.00003368) | |
| DIAMOND HILL INVESTMENT INC | very bearish | 100 | DHIL filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 7 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bearish | 94 | 1000SATS/USDC RSI overbought at 94.0 (>70), strength 94 | |
| Air Canada | very bearish | 88 | BBC reports highly negative developments for AC — in Events / Corporate Events / Corporate Structure and Governance Events / Workforce Changes / Layoffs — "Air Canada CEO 'deeply saddened' his poor French skills distracted from victims of crash" — [very strong signal from highly credible source] |
| VICOR CORP | very bearish | 76 | VINCIARELLI PATRIZIO (Chairman and CEO, Director, 10% Owner) sold VICR shares ($1.41M) - 7900 shares - [strong very bearish signal] |
Top stories
Clusters of bearish signals are detected in insider trades for VICR and FROG, while bullish signals are seen in strong bullish insider buys for RH.
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Insider filings
Insider filings show large-scale sales and purchases by major stakeholders, with notable sales from VICR and FROG shares.
| Ticker | Insider | Type | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRWV | Magnetar Financial LLC | sale | $619.6B | 2026-04-15 |
| SCKT | BASS CHARLIE | purchase | $177.8B | 2026-03-27 |
| PAM | Sigwald Carolina VP legal affairs | grant | $8.8B | 2026-03-25 |
| AGRZ | Chaudhry Muhammad Arshad | other | $4.0B | 2025-12-03 |
| SBLK | Zagari Raffaele | sale | $2.6B | 2026-03-31 |
| PAM | de la Fuente Mariana HR Director | grant | $1.6B | 2026-03-10 |
| SVRE | VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | purchase | $665.9M | 2026-03-23 |
| IEP | ICAHN CARL C | other | $249.7M | 2026-04-15 |
| CHTR | Rutledge Thomas | exercise | $201.6M | 2026-04-21 |
| SMR | FLUOR CORP | sale | $162.9M | 2026-04-09 |
| SMR | FLUOR CORP | sale | $159.4M | 2026-04-21 |
| ASTS | Mikitani Hiroshi | sale | $154.5M | 2026-04-14 |
| ASX | Chen Tien-Szu GM, ASE Inc. Chung-Li Branch | sale | $152.6M | 2026-04-20 |
| SMR | FLUOR CORP | sale | $150.4M | 2026-04-15 |
| SVRE | VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | purchase | $148.3M | 2026-03-30 |
| CHTR | Liberty Broadband Corp | other | $142.7M | 2026-04-02 |
| CAR | Pentwater Capital Management LP | other | $136.0M | 2026-03-20 |
| ASX | Chang Chien Shen | exercise | $123.3M | 2026-04-09 |
| TRON | SUN Weike | grant | $110.0M | 2025-08-27 |
| TH | TDR Capital II Investments LP | other | $106.8M | 2026-04-23 |
SEC filings radar
SEC filings include significant ownership stakes and proposed large-scale stock sales, with Goldman Sachs and Barclays reporting substantial portfolios.
| Kind | Ticker | Filing | Detail | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13D/G | — | Banzai International, Inc. - SC_13D Banzai International, Inc. | 100% stake | 2026-04-06 |
| 13D/G | — | iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Muni Bond ETF | 100% stake | 2026-03-31 |
| 13D/G | — | iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2033 Term Muni Bond ETF | 100% stake | 2026-03-31 |
| 13D/G | — | iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF - SC_13G iShares iBonds Dec 2046 Term Treasury ETF | 100% stake | 2026-03-31 |
| Form 144 | — | BARCLAYS BANK PLC - PT CAHAYA RAKA KARSANA BARCLAYS BANK PLC | $2.0B proposed sale | 2026-04-15 |
| Form 144 | — | BARCLAYS BANK PLC - PT CAHAYA RAKA KARSANA BARCLAYS BANK PLC | $250.0M proposed sale | 2026-04-13 |
| Form 144 | — | Cogent Biosciences, Inc. - Fairmount Healthcare Fund II L.P. Cogent Biosciences, Inc. | $242.6M proposed sale | 2026-04-01 |
| Form 144 | — | Broadcom Inc. - H&S INVESTMENTS I LP Broadcom Inc. | $170.0M proposed sale | 2026-03-26 |
| 13F | — | GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC - 13F GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | $815.4B portfolio, 13077 positions | 2025-12-31 |
| 13F | — | BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC | $461.2B portfolio, 11877 positions | 2025-09-30 |
| 13F | — | BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC | $376.8B portfolio, 9207 positions | 2024-09-30 |
| 13F | — | BARCLAYS PLC - 13F BARCLAYS PLC | $272.5B portfolio, 9315 positions | 2023-12-31 |
| Financial report | — | Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company | — | 2026-05-08 |
| Financial report | SPRU | SPRU - 10-K/A - FY Spruce Power Holding Corporation | FY 2025 | 2026-04-23 |
| Financial report | — | Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company | — | 2026-05-08 |
| Financial report | — | Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company | — | 2026-05-08 |
Prediction markets
Prediction markets show high consensus on US-Iran ceasefire and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, with low consensus on FIFA World Cup outcomes.
| Question | Yes | Volume | Platform | Snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 0.3% | $363.8M | polymarket | 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | 0.2% | $283.8M | polymarket | 2026-05-01 00:35 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 100% | $268.9M | polymarket | 2026-04-09 00:34 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | 100% | $173.5M | polymarket | 2026-04-11 00:29 UTC |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $158.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $152.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $142.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 100% | $138.4M | polymarket | 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $137.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2.2% | $127.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6.3% | $125.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 18.2% | $122.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1.8% | $121.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $119.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $111.7M | polymarket | 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 39.6% | $109.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 20:02 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.5M | polymarket | 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.4M | polymarket | 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC |
In the news
Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.
- 2026-04-23 heritage-financial-corp
- 2026-04-23 bank-of-queensland-ltdaustralianregional
- 2026-04-23 columbia-banking-system-inc
- 2026-04-23 meridian-bioscience-inc
- 2026-04-23 pennymac-financial-services-inc
- positive2026-04-23 amazon-com-incindependent
- 2026-04-23 meridian-bioscience-inc
- 2026-04-23 global
- positive2026-04-23 sterling-infrastructure-inc
- 2026-04-23 china
- 2026-04-23 australian
- 2026-04-23 dave-and-busters-entertainment-inccity
- 2026-04-23 gpt
- positive2026-04-23 giftify-inc
- positive2026-04-23 nextdecade-corp
- 2026-04-23 bitcoin
- 2026-04-23 brandywine-realty-trust
- 2026-04-23 heritage-financial-corp
- 2026-04-23 premium-global-income-split-corp
- 2026-04-23 acer-therapeutics-inc
Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record;
the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice. New here? Learn what each signal means
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