Monthly market brief: Apr 23 – May 22, 2026
QuantConomy Monthly digest
Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups and price movements in LINK/BTC, HOT/TRY, and CETUS/USDT, alongside significant insider selling in AIP and strong bullish insider buying in BRCB. Prediction markets show a high probability of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026, and varying odds for FIFA World Cup outcomes. This is market context, not advice.
- Signals
- 20
- Insider trades
- 20
- 8-K items
- 20
- SEC filings
- 20
- Prediction markets
- 20
- News
- 20
Strongest signals
Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups, RSI overbought and oversold conditions, and significant insider trading activity.
| Asset | Signal | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| neutral | 100 | LINK/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Wednesday 21:00 UTC, price flat 0.16% (strength 100) | |
| very bearish | 100 | HOT/TRY downtrend (drop): price -7.11% (strength 100, current 0.01828) | |
| Polar Power Inc | bullish | 100 | POLA filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Direct Financial Obligation - 5 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bearish | 97 | CETUS/USDT RSI overbought at 96.9 (>70), strength 97 | |
| Arteris Inc | bearish | 90 | Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for AIP worth $1502686014642.18M total - 70000 shares - [very strong bearish signal] |
| CME Group Inc | bullish | 78 | Bloomberg reports positive developments for CME — in Sections / Business and Economics / Financial Markets / Futures Market — "CME to Create Futures Market for Computing Power Backing AI" — [strong signal from highly credible source] |
| neutral | 100 | ACH/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Wednesday 21:00 UTC, price flat 0.19% (strength 100) | |
| very bearish | 100 | CFX/TRY downtrend (drop): price -15.84% (strength 100, current 2.64) | |
| Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc | bullish | 100 | AOMR filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Director or Officer Changes - 3 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bullish | 95 | TRUMP/USDT RSI oversold at 4.8 (<30), strength 95 | |
| Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc | bullish | 85 | Cluster buying detected: 4 insider trades for BRCB worth $64.43M total - 12042712 shares - [very strong bullish signal] |
| ORANGE | bullish | 77 | Bloomberg reports positive developments for FNCTF — in Events / Natural Disasters / Solar Flares — "Orange to Double Africa Solar-Powered Towers as War Boosts Costs" — [strong signal from highly credible source] |
| slightly bearish | 100 | AVAX/EUR sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Wednesday 21:00 UTC, price down 0.62% (strength 100) | |
| very bearish | 100 | TST/TRY downtrend (drop): price -12.83% (strength 100, current 0.768) | |
| Envirotech Vehicles Inc | bullish | 100 | EVTV filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Change in Control, Director or Officer Changes - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bearish | 94 | LUNC/TRY RSI overbought at 93.9 (>70), strength 94 | |
| Pershing Square USA, Ltd | very bullish | 85 | Cluster buying detected: 7 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.7500000010000048e+47M total - 96000000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal] |
| ORANGE SA | bullish | 76 | Bloomberg reports positive developments for 0A6882 — in Events / Natural Disasters / Solar Flares — "Orange to Double Africa Solar-Powered Towers as War Boosts Costs" — [strong signal from highly credible source] |
| slightly bullish | 100 | STEEM/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Wednesday 21:00 UTC, price up 1.45% (strength 100) | |
| very bearish | 100 | DOT/USDT downtrend (drop): price -6.90% (strength 100, current 1.227) |
Insider filings
Insider filings show large-scale sales and grants, with multiple directors of MCW making significant other transactions.
| Ticker | Insider | Type | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOS | Aljomaih Automotive Co. | other | $2250.0B | 2026-02-11 |
| XOS | Aljomaih Automotive Co. | other | $2250.0B | 2025-11-11 |
| CRWV | Magnetar Financial LLC | sale | $613.5B | 2026-04-22 |
| CRWV | Magnetar Financial LLC | sale | $582.6B | 2026-04-29 |
| CRWV | Magnetar Financial LLC | sale | $146.4B | 2026-05-04 |
| CRWV | Magnetar Financial LLC | sale | $38.8B | 2026-05-06 |
| CRWV | Magnetar Financial LLC | sale | $36.4B | 2026-05-01 |
| CRWV | Magnetar Financial LLC | sale | $13.8B | 2026-05-05 |
| PSUS | Pershing Square Management, LLC Director | grant | $4.8B | 2026-04-30 |
| SVRE | VisionWave Holdings, Inc. | purchase | $4.3B | 2026-04-28 |
| MCW | Suer Jeffrey Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| MCW | DANHAKL JOHN G Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| MCW | Galashan John Kristofer Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| MCW | SEIFFER JONATHAN A Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| MCW | SEIFFER JONATHAN A Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| MCW | Suer Jeffrey Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| MCW | Galashan John Kristofer Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| MCW | DANHAKL JOHN G Director | other | $1.5B | 2026-05-19 |
| RIVN | VOLKSWAGEN AG | purchase | $999.9M | 2026-04-30 |
| MCW | Green Equity Investors VI, L.P. Director | other | $943.7M | 2026-05-19 |
8-K items
SEC filings include multiple delisting notices and changes in certifying accountants, indicating potential liquidity or governance issues.
| Company | Item | Materiality | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|
| LASE | Item 3.01 LASE - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| TPST | Item 3.01 TPST - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| GITS | Item 3.01 GITS - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| LRHC | Item 3.01 LRHC - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| TNON | Item 3.01 TNON - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| SEGG | Item 3.01 SEGG - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| AAME | Item 3.01 AAME - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| ENSC | Item 3.01 ENSC - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| NMTC | Item 4.02 NMTC - 4.02 - Non-Reliance on Previously Issued Financial Statements or a Related Audit Report or Completed Interim Review | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| NKLR | Item 3.01 NKLR - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| — | Item 4.01 Waste Energy Corp. - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| RICK | Item 3.01 RICK - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| RNAZ | Item 3.01 RNAZ - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| COCH | Item 3.01 COCH - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| DEVS | Item 3.01 DEVS - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| — | Item 4.01 GROOVE BOTANICALS INC. - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| AVXL | Item 3.01 AVXL - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| GTBP | Item 3.01 GTBP - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| AGAE | Item 3.01 AGAE - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-22 |
| PTHS | Item 4.01 PTHS - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant | 1.00 | 2026-05-21 |
SEC filings radar
SEC filings radar highlights tender offers, significant stake acquisitions, and numerous registration and 13D/G filings from major institutions.
| Kind | Ticker | Filing | Detail | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2025-05-16 |
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2025-05-16 |
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2025-05-20 |
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2025-05-21 |
| 13D/G | — | MFS High Yield Municipal Trust - SC_13G MFS High Yield Municipal Trust | 100% stake | 2026-05-01 |
| 13D/G | — | Invesco Quality Municipal Income Trust - SC_13G Invesco Quality Municipal Income Trust | 100% stake | 2026-04-28 |
| 13D/G | — | MFS INVESTMENT GRADE MUNICIPAL TRUST - SC_13G MFS INVESTMENT GRADE MUNICIPAL TRUST | 100% stake | 2026-05-08 |
| 13D/G | — | StepStone Private Equity Strategies Fund - SC_13D StepStone Private Equity Strategies Fund | 100% stake | 2025-09-08 |
| Form 144 | — | CARVANA CO. - GARCIA ERNEST C. II CARVANA CO. | $1.6B proposed sale | 2026-05-01 |
| Form 144 | — | Viking Holdings Ltd - CPP Investment Board PMI-3 Inc. Viking Holdings Ltd | $765.9M proposed sale | 2026-05-20 |
| Form 144 | — | DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. - AI Droplet Holdings LLC DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | $522.0M proposed sale | 2026-05-14 |
| Form 144 | — | DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. - AI Droplet Holdings LLC DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | $522.0M proposed sale | 2026-05-14 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - F-1 Unknown Issuer | — | 2025-06-27 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - F-1 Unknown Issuer | — | 2025-06-25 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - F-1 Unknown Issuer | — | 2025-06-27 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - F-1 Unknown Issuer | — | 2025-06-26 |
| 13F | — | BlackRock, Inc. - 13F BlackRock, Inc. | $5723.5B portfolio, 50651 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC - 13F VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $3995.9B portfolio, 3982 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC - 13F VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | $3995.7B portfolio, 3982 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | STATE STREET CORP - 13F STATE STREET CORP | $2896.4B portfolio, 4269 positions | 2026-03-31 |
Prediction markets
Prediction markets show low probabilities for most football World Cup outcomes, with high confidence in a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and moderate odds for France and Spain winning.
| Question | Yes | Volume | Platform | Snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 0.3% | $363.8M | polymarket | 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $158.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $152.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $142.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 100% | $138.4M | polymarket | 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $137.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $129.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-11 00:13 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6% | $127.0M | polymarket | 2026-07-11 02:40 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 18.3% | $123.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-11 02:40 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1.7% | $122.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-11 02:40 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $119.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $111.7M | polymarket | 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 37.3% | $110.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-11 02:40 UTC |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.5M | polymarket | 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.4M | polymarket | 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $104.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $102.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 21.4% | $102.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-11 02:40 UTC |
In the news
Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.
- 2026-05-22 dogedogecoin
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- 2026-05-22 bitcoingold
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- 2026-05-22 australian
Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record;
the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice. New here? Learn what each signal means
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