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QuantConomy

Weekly market brief: May 13 – May 19, 2026

QuantConomy Weekly digest

Strong bullish signals are evident in GIGGLE/USDT, CFX/TRY, and RUNE/USDC, with sustained volume dry-ups and overbought RSI levels. Insider trades, such as the significant sale by HOLDING FRANK B JR of FCNCA shares, and SEC filings like material definitive agreements and changes in control, are mixed, with some very strong bullish and bearish indicators. Positive developments reported by Bloomberg, particularly in computing power futures and solar power infrastructure, add to the market context.

Signals
20
Insider trades
20
8-K items
20
SEC filings
20
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong bullish signals include insider buying and material events, while strong bearish signals involve significant insider selling and material negative events.

Asset Signal Score Detail
GIGGLE
slightly bearish
volume
100
GIGGLE/USDT:USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 0.94% (strength 100)
CFX
very bearish
price
100
CFX/TRY downtrend (drop): price -15.84% (strength 100, current 2.64)
INM
InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
INM filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Change in Control, Director or Officer Changes - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
RUNE
very bearish
technical
93
RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93
BRCB
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc
bullish
insider trade
85
Cluster buying detected: 4 insider trades for BRCB worth $64.43M total - 12042712 shares - [very strong bullish signal]
CME
CME Group Inc
bullish
news
78
Bloomberg reports positive developments for CME — in Sections / Business and Economics / Financial Markets / Futures Market — "CME to Create Futures Market for Computing Power Backing AI" — [strong signal from highly credible source]
XRP
slightly bearish
volume
100
XRP/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 8% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 1.12% (strength 100)
TST
very bearish
price
100
TST/TRY downtrend (drop): price -12.83% (strength 100, current 0.768)
MCW
Mister Car Wash Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
MCW filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Direct Financial Obligation - 8 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
RUNE
very bearish
technical
93
RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93
FCNCA
FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC
very bearish
insider trade
77
HOLDING FRANK B JR (Chairman and CEO, Director, 10% Owner) sold FCNCA shares ($10.26M) - 5346 shares - [strong very bearish signal]
FNCTF
ORANGE
bullish
news
77
Bloomberg reports positive developments for FNCTF — in Events / Natural Disasters / Solar Flares — "Orange to Double Africa Solar-Powered Towers as War Boosts Costs" — [strong signal from highly credible source]
RSR
slightly bearish
volume
100
RSR/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 0.88% (strength 100)
DOT
very bearish
price
100
DOT/USDT downtrend (drop): price -6.90% (strength 100, current 1.227)
PHUN
Phunware Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
PHUN filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Material Definitive Agreement, Director or Officer Changes - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
VIRTUAL
slightly bullish
technical
92
VIRTUAL/USDT:USDT touching lower Bollinger Band, %B -39.9%, strength 92
0A6882
ORANGE SA
bullish
news
76
Bloomberg reports positive developments for 0A6882 — in Events / Natural Disasters / Solar Flares — "Orange to Double Africa Solar-Powered Towers as War Boosts Costs" — [strong signal from highly credible source]
IOT
Samsara Inc.
very bearish
insider trade
73
Bicket John (SEE REMARKS, Director, 10% Owner) sold IOT shares ($3.33M) - 116525 shares - [strong very bearish signal]
SHELL
neutral
volume
100
SHELL/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.30% (strength 100)
HUMA
very bearish
price
100
HUMA/USDT downtrend (drop): price -11.82% (strength 100, current 0.02201)

Insider filings

Large-scale insider selling and buying activities are prevalent, with notable sales by key executives and purchases by major stakeholders.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
TWLO Stafman Andrew sale $130.6M 2026-05-12
HWM Marchuk Neil Edward EVP, CAO sale $11.3M 2026-05-11
FCNCA HOLDING FRANK B JR Chairman and CEO sale $10.3M 2026-05-12
FOUR Isaacman Jared purchase $8.1M 2026-05-11
WCN MITTELSTAEDT RONALD J President & CEO purchase $7.6M 2026-05-12
GD Burns Mark Lagrand Executive Vice President exercise $6.0M 2026-05-11
MRP Richman Darren See Remarks purchase $5.3M 2026-05-11
KEY BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA other $5.1M 2026-05-12
KHC CAHILLANE STEVEN A Chief Executive Officer purchase $5.0M 2026-05-12
ALHC KAO JOHN E Chief Executive Officer sale $4.7M 2026-05-11
LEVI Haas Margaret E. other $4.4M 2026-05-11
ANIP Lalwani Nikhil PRESIDENT & CEO sale $4.3M 2026-05-11
TRGP CRISP CHARLES R Director sale $2.7M 2026-05-12
BAND Bottorff Rebecca Chief People Officer sale $2.5M 2026-05-12
BKNG Steenbergen Ewout L CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER other $2.0M 2026-05-12
EME Reid William P sale $1.9M 2026-05-11
APC Blackstone Holdings I L.P. purchase $1.8M 2026-02-12
WTTR Skarke Michael EVP & COO sale $1.6M 2026-05-11
LH Schechter Adam H President & CEO sale $1.5M 2026-05-11
IEX ASHLEMAN ERIC D CEO and President exercise $1.4M 2026-05-11

8-K items

Multiple 8-K filings indicate significant corporate changes, including changes in control and delistings, while SEC filings show substantial stake acquisitions and proposed large-scale stock sales.

Company Item Materiality Filed
TPH Item 5.01 TPH - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-14
TPH Item 3.01 TPH - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-14
APLS Item 3.01 APLS - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-14
APLS Item 5.01 APLS - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-14
IPAR Item 4.01 IPAR - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant 1.00 2026-05-13
ISPC Item 3.01 ISPC - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-13
SNCY Item 5.01 SNCY - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-13
SNCY Item 3.01 SNCY - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-13
SUI Item 4.01 SUI - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant 1.00 2026-05-13
BNC Item 3.01 BNC - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-13
— Item 4.01 GROOVY COMPANY, INC. - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant 1.00 2026-05-13
— Item 4.01 BlueOne Technologies, Inc. - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant 1.00 2026-05-13
RVPH Item 3.01 RVPH - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-13
INTZ Item 3.01 INTZ - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-13
— Item 2.03 FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-14
— Item 2.03 Federal Home Loan Bank of Des Moines - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-14
— Item 2.03 COMMONWEALTH EDISON COMPANY - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-14
— Item 2.03 FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK OF CHICAGO - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-14
— Item 2.03 FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK OF INDIANAPOLIS - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-14
— Item 2.03 Federal Home Loan Bank of Topeka - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-14

SEC filings radar

SEC filings include a range of activities from tender offers to large-scale stock sales and stake acquisitions, with significant financial stakes changing hands.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-02-13
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-02-11
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-02-11
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-02-12
13D/G — NC SLF INC. - SC_13D NC SLF INC. 99.2% stake 2026-05-12
13D/G — ChronoScale Corporation - SC_13D ChronoScale Corporation 97.5% stake 2026-05-05
13D/G — Franklin BSP Lending Fund - SC_13D Franklin BSP Lending Fund 85.9% stake 2026-05-12
13D/G — Coincheck Group N.V. - SC_13D Coincheck Group N.V. 83.6% stake 2026-05-12
Form 144 — DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. - AI Droplet Holdings LLC DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. $522.0M proposed sale 2026-05-14
Form 144 — DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. - AI Droplet Holdings LLC DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. $522.0M proposed sale 2026-05-14
Form 144 — Janus Henderson Group PLC - TRIAN FUND MANAGEMENT, L.P. Janus Henderson Group PLC $321.2M proposed sale 2026-05-13
Form 144 — SITIME CORP - MEGACHIPS CORP /FI SITIME CORP $320.0M proposed sale 2026-05-14
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1 Unknown Issuer — 2026-02-20
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1 Unknown Issuer — 2026-02-18
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1 Unknown Issuer — 2026-02-18
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1 Unknown Issuer — 2026-02-18
13F — AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC - 13F AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC $218.4B portfolio, 20832 positions 2026-03-31
13F — D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. - 13F D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. $166.3B portfolio, 5804 positions 2026-03-31
13F — VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC - 13F VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC $156.1B portfolio, 2565 positions 2026-03-31
13F — NEUBERGER BERMAN GROUP LLC - 13F NEUBERGER BERMAN GROUP LLC $131.4B portfolio, 3889 positions 2026-03-31

Prediction markets

Prediction markets show low probabilities for most teams to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with France and Argentina being the most favored, while other teams have very low chances.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $125.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.2% $125.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18% $122.5M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 38.6% $108.8M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $104.7M polymarket 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $102.9M polymarket 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 16.7% $99.2M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $96.9M polymarket 2026-07-01 06:48 UTC

In the news

Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.

Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.

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