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QuantConomy

Weekly market brief: May 6 – May 12, 2026

QuantConomy Weekly digest

Strong signals point to a mix of bullish and bearish market movements, with notable insider selling and volume dry-ups across various tickers. Key events include sustained volume dry-ups for IOTA/BTC, DYDX/USDC, and AAVE/TRY, alongside significant insider trades and SEC filings indicating potential delistings and changes in control. Prediction markets show high confidence in a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and varying probabilities for FIFA World Cup outcomes.

Signals
20
Insider trades
20
8-K items
20
SEC filings
20
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong bullish signals include OPRX and BZFD, while strong bearish signals are indicated by multiple insider sales and volume dry-ups.

Asset Signal Score Detail
IOTA
neutral
volume
100
IOTA/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
DYDX
very bearish
price
100
DYDX/USDC downtrend (drop): price -10.23% (strength 100, current 0.15956)
OPRX
OptimizeRx Corp
bullish
corporate event
100
OPRX filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Earnings Release - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
RUNE
very bearish
technical
93
RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93
AIP
Arteris Inc
bearish
insider trade
90
Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for AIP worth $1502686014642.18M total - 70000 shares - [very strong bearish signal]
AAVE
neutral
volume
100
AAVE/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
SAPIEN
very bullish
price
100
SAPIEN/USDT:USDT uptrend (gain): price 16.20% (strength 100, current 0.1234)
BZFD
BuzzFeed Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
BZFD filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Earnings Release, Director or Officer Changes - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
RUNE
very bearish
technical
93
RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93
MBIN
Merchants Bancorp
very bearish
insider trade
71
Petrie Michael F. (Chairman and CEO, Director, 10% Owner) sold MBIN shares ($0.94M) - 20000 shares - [strong very bearish signal]
SAPIEN
neutral
volume
100
SAPIEN/USDT:USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
HOME
very bullish
price
100
HOME/USDT uptrend (gain): price 6.44% (strength 100, current 0.01702)
KZR
Kezar Life Sciences Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
KZR filed 8-K: Acquisition or Disposition, Modification to Rights of Security Holders, Change in Control - 5 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
TECK
Teck Resources Limited
bearish
technical
90
TECK MACD bearish crossover, histogram -0.040711, strength 90
LTH
Life Time Inc
very bearish
insider trade
68
DANHAKL JOHN G (Director, 10% Owner) sold LTH shares ($71.30M) - 2493083 shares - [strong very bearish signal]
DYDX
neutral
volume
100
DYDX/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
QI
very bearish
price
100
QI/USDT downtrend (drop): price -5.70% (strength 100, current 0.00182)
UDMY
Udemy Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
UDMY filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 7 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
SAIC
Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock
bullish
technical
90
SAIC MACD bullish crossover, histogram 0.040412, strength 90
LTH
Life Time Inc
very bearish
insider trade
68
Green LTF Holdings II LP (Director, 10% Owner) sold LTH shares ($70.00M) - 2447621 shares - [strong very bearish signal]

Insider filings

Multiple large-scale insider sales across various companies, with significant amounts in millions of dollars.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
SVRE VisionWave Holdings, Inc. purchase $4.3B 2026-04-28
FIX Lane Brian E. CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFF. sale $21.9M 2026-05-05
MUSA MURPHY ROBERT MADISON sale $15.5M 2026-05-04
MANE SUVRETTA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Director grant $14.9M 2026-05-01
REG STEIN MARTIN E JR Executive Chairman sale $8.6M 2026-05-04
AMZN Jassy Andrew R President and CEO sale $8.6M 2026-05-04
PCSV HACKETT TODD RAYMOND CEO other $8.3M 2026-05-04
PBF Control Empresarial de Capitales S.A. de C.V. sale $7.6M 2026-05-04
FBYD Infinite Acquisitions Partners LLC sale $7.0M 2026-05-04
VIAV KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO sale $5.7M 2026-05-05
KEY BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA other $5.1M 2026-05-05
NONE TEACHERS INSURANCE & ANNUITY ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA sale $5.0M 2026-05-04
CELC Dalvey David Director sale $3.5M 2026-05-04
GLW Zhang John Z Exec. Vice President & CCDO sale $2.8M 2026-05-06
SQNS Debray Bertrand Chief of Staff sale $2.5M 2026-05-06
SRAD Koerl Carsten Chief Executive Officer purchase $2.4M 2026-05-04
GL Darden James Matthew Co-Chairman & CEO exercise $2.2M 2026-05-05
AVT GALLAGHER PHILIP R Chief Executive Officer sale $2.0M 2026-05-05
USB Dilip Venkatachari SEVP & Chief Info & Tech Off sale $1.9M 2026-05-05
QCOM AMON CRISTIANO R President & CEO sale $1.9M 2026-05-05

8-K items

Several companies have filed 8-K reports indicating changes in control, delisting, and material events, with high materiality.

Company Item Materiality Filed
PRPL Item 3.01 PRPL - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-11
— Item 5.01 BRYN INC. - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-11
KZR Item 3.01 KZR - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-11
KZR Item 5.01 KZR - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-11
UDMY Item 3.01 UDMY - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-11
UDMY Item 5.01 UDMY - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-11
RMTI Item 3.01 RMTI - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CTLP Item 3.01 CTLP - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CTLP Item 5.01 CTLP - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-08
HUMA Item 3.01 HUMA - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
ALCYU Item 3.01 ALCYU - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
ADTX Item 3.01 ADTX - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CCEL Item 3.01 CCEL - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
DFNS Item 3.01 DFNS - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CBFV Item 1.05 CBFV - 1.05 - Material Cybersecurity Incidents 0.95 2026-05-11
ARCC Item 2.03 ARCC - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
GTM Item 2.03 GTM - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
MGRC Item 2.03 MGRC - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
CACC Item 2.03 CACC - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
VRDN Item 2.03 VRDN - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11

SEC filings radar

SEC filings include tender offers, 13D/G filings for significant stakes, Form 144 proposed sales, and various registration and 13F filings.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-01
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-20
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-17
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-14
13D/G — Pershing Square USA, Ltd. - SC_13D Pershing Square USA, Ltd. 100% stake 2026-04-30
13D/G — C3is Inc. - SC_13D C3is Inc. 90.2% stake 2026-05-04
13D/G — SOLV Energy, Inc. - SC_13G SOLV Energy, Inc. 88.1% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — iShares MSCI USA Small-Cap Quality Factor ETF - SC_13G iShares MSCI USA Small-Cap Quality Factor ETF 83.3% stake 2026-04-30
Form 144 — Crescent Energy Company - Liberty Mutual Foundation Inc. Crescent Energy Company $427.1M proposed sale 2026-05-07
Form 144 — Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. - Johnson Joseph T Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. $415.7M proposed sale 2026-05-06
Form 144 — ELI LILLY AND COMPANY - LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC. ELI LILLY AND COMPANY $296.7M proposed sale 2026-05-06
Form 144 — Apple Inc. - LEVINSON ARTHUR D Apple Inc. $71.2M proposed sale 2026-05-06
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-27
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-27
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-3/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-27
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-3/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-30
13F — VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC - 13F VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC $1886.8B portfolio, 3040 positions 2026-03-31
13F — Invesco Ltd. - 13F Invesco Ltd. $653.3B portfolio, 23552 positions 2026-03-31
13F — BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS - 13F BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS $205.8B portfolio, 17681 positions 2026-03-31
13F — Vanguard Global Advisers, LLC - 13F Vanguard Global Advisers, LLC $185.0B portfolio, 3616 positions 2026-03-31

Prediction markets

Prediction markets show high confidence in Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and lower confidence in other World Cup outcomes.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $125.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.2% $125.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18% $122.5M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 38.6% $108.8M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $104.7M polymarket 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $102.9M polymarket 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 16.7% $99.2M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC

In the news

Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.

Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.

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