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QuantConomy

Weekly market brief: Apr 29 – May 5, 2026

QuantConomy Weekly digest

Strong bullish signals are evident in the sustained volume dry-up and uptrends for CFX/BTC, CFX/USDC, ZEC/BTC, and NOT/USDT, alongside significant insider buying in PSUS. Meanwhile, bearish signals are highlighted by the overbought RSI and dry-up in volume for CETUS/USDT, SBEV, and TERN, coupled with material events filings indicating potential delistings and terminations. Prediction markets show a strong consensus on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026, while FIFA World Cup outcomes are widely dispersed.

Signals
20
Insider trades
20
SEC filings
16
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups and overbought/oversold RSI conditions, with multiple instances of cluster buying detected by insider trades.

Asset Signal Score Detail
DOT
slightly bearish
volume
100
DOT/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 2% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 1.09% (strength 100)
CFX
very bullish
price
100
CFX/BTC uptrend (gain): price 5.26% (strength 100, current 8e-7)
ATEC
Alphatec Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
ATEC filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Earnings Release - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
CETUS
very bearish
technical
97
CETUS/USDT RSI overbought at 96.9 (>70), strength 97
PSUS
Pershing Square USA, Ltd
very bullish
insider trade
85
Cluster buying detected: 7 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.7500000010000048e+47M total - 96000000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal]
EPIC
slightly bearish
volume
100
EPIC/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 0.85% (strength 100)
CFX
very bullish
price
100
CFX/USDC uptrend (gain): price 7.61% (strength 100, current 0.06703)
SBEV
SPLASH BEVERAGE INC
very bearish
corporate event
100
SBEV filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Delisting Notice - 5 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
TRUMP
very bullish
technical
95
TRUMP/USDT RSI oversold at 4.8 (<30), strength 95
PSUS
Pershing Square USA, Ltd
bullish
insider trade
80
Cluster buying detected: 3 insider trades for PSUS worth $17500000010000050.00M total - 100000 shares - [very strong bullish signal]
XAI
slightly bearish
volume
100
XAI/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 0.71% (strength 100)
ZEC
very bullish
price
100
ZEC/BTC uptrend (gain): price 6.10% (strength 100, current 0.0063134)
FARM
very bearish
corporate event
100
FARM filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 7 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
LUNC
very bearish
technical
94
LUNC/TRY RSI overbought at 93.9 (>70), strength 94
PSUS
Pershing Square USA, Ltd
very bullish
insider trade
80
Cluster buying detected: 6 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.750000001000005e+39M total - 100000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal]
VELODROME
neutral
volume
100
VELODROME/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.23% (strength 100)
NOT
very bullish
price
100
NOT/USDT uptrend (gain): price 6.11% (strength 100, current 0.000521)
TERN
Terns Pharmaceuticals Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
TERN filed 8-K: Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice, Modification to Rights of Security Holders - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
BAT
slightly bullish
technical
93
BAT/USDT touching lower Bollinger Band, %B -43.3%, strength 93
PSUS
Pershing Square USA, Ltd
very bullish
insider trade
80
Cluster buying detected: 5 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.750000001000005e+32M total - 200000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal]

Insider filings

Multiple executives and institutions have filed significant insider trades and filings, with some selling large stakes in their companies.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
SEMR Shchegolev Oleg Chief Technology Officer other $86.0M 2026-04-28
SEMR Melnikov Dmitry other $32.2M 2026-04-28
CLYM RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. Director grant $20.0M 2026-04-29
SEMR Wagner William Raymond Chief Executive Officer other $19.6M 2026-04-28
MLI Christopher Gregory L. Chairman of the Board & CEO sale $14.2M 2026-04-27
AWI Grizzle Victor Executive Chair exercise $12.4M 2026-04-28
SEMR Mulroy Brian Chief Financial Officer other $12.2M 2026-04-28
BLK FINK LAURENCE Chairman and CEO sale $10.2M 2026-04-28
NXT SHUGAR DANIEL S Chief Executive Officer other $8.9M 2026-04-27
KALU Harvey Keith President & CEO sale $8.2M 2026-04-27
SEMR Levin Eugenie President other $6.9M 2026-04-28
RMAX Peterson Adam K sale $6.2M 2026-04-27
KEY BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA other $5.5M 2026-04-28
NXT Wenger Howard President other $4.8M 2026-04-27
IACQ Irenic Sponsor, LLC grant $4.2M 2026-04-27
SEMR Warden Andrew Chief Marketing Officer other $4.1M 2026-04-28
NXT Bennett David P Chief Accounting Officer other $4.0M 2026-04-27
TRV Kess Avrohom J. Vice Chmn. & Chief Legal Off. exercise $3.9M 2026-04-28
UWMC Mat Ishbia President and CEO sale $3.6M 2026-04-28
CXIIU Klein Michael Stuart See Remarks purchase $3.5M 2026-04-29

SEC filings radar

SEC filings include substantial stakes in companies and large proposed sales, along with various financial reports and 13D/G filings for significant ownership changes.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
13D/G — Staffing 360 Solutions, Inc. - SC_13D Staffing 360 Solutions, Inc. 100% stake 2026-04-27
13D/G — Arcellx, Inc. - SC_13D Arcellx, Inc. 100% stake 2026-04-28
13D/G — MAINZ BIOMED N.V. - SC_13D MAINZ BIOMED N.V. 97.4% stake 2026-04-22
13D/G — GoldenTree Opportunistic Credit Fund - SC_13D GoldenTree Opportunistic Credit Fund 81.7% stake 2026-04-24
Form 144 — Broadcom Inc. - H&S INVESTMENTS I LP Broadcom Inc. $170.0M proposed sale 2026-04-29
Form 144 — Broadcom Inc. - H&S INVESTMENTS I LP Broadcom Inc. $170.0M proposed sale 2026-04-29
Form 144 — Concentrix Corp - Sapiens S.a r.l. Concentrix Corp $149.1M proposed sale 2026-04-29
Form 144 — Kinetik Holdings Inc. - ISQ Global Fund II GP LLC Kinetik Holdings Inc. $27.0M proposed sale 2026-04-30
13F — Bank of New York Mellon Corp - 13F Bank of New York Mellon Corp $543.9B portfolio, 33728 positions 2026-03-31
13F — IMC-Chicago, LLC - 13F IMC-Chicago, LLC $278.4B portfolio, 6112 positions 2026-03-31
13F — HSBC HOLDINGS PLC - 13F HSBC HOLDINGS PLC $191.6B portfolio, 8884 positions 2026-03-31
13F — HighTower Advisors, LLC - 13F HighTower Advisors, LLC $94.2B portfolio, 3796 positions 2026-03-31
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08

Prediction markets

Prediction markets show low probabilities for most football teams to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with France and Argentina having slightly higher chances.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $125.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.2% $125.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18% $122.5M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 38.6% $108.8M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $104.7M polymarket 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $102.9M polymarket 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 16.7% $99.2M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC

In the news

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Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.

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