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QuantConomy

Weekly market brief: May 7 – May 13, 2026

QuantConomy Weekly digest

Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups and price drops for DOGE, ORDI, and XAI, alongside overbought RSI readings for RUNE and MU. Insider selling, particularly from CEOs and major shareholders, and significant bearish signals from filings and prediction markets, such as the high probability of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire, add to the market's bearish sentiment. This is market context, not advice.

Signals
20
Insider trades
20
8-K items
20
SEC filings
20
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups, overbought RSI, and significant insider selling.

Asset Signal Score Detail
1MBABYDOGE
slightly bearish
volume
100
1MBABYDOGE/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 4% of expected volume for Wednesday 23:00 UTC, price down 2.74% (strength 100)
ORDI
very bearish
price
100
ORDI/TRY downtrend (drop): price -17.58% (strength 100, current 206.8)
OTLK
Outlook Therapeutics Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
OTLK filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Earnings Release - 3 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
RUNE
very bearish
technical
93
RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93
AIP
Arteris Inc
bearish
insider trade
90
Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for AIP worth $1502686014642.18M total - 70000 shares - [very strong bearish signal]
XAI
bearish
volume
100
XAI/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Wednesday 23:00 UTC, price down 4.32% (strength 100)
LDO
very bearish
price
100
LDO/FDUSD downtrend (drop): price -8.73% (strength 100, current 0.3902)
SNCY
Sun Country Airlines Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
SNCY filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
RUNE
very bearish
technical
93
RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93
FCNCA
FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INC
very bearish
insider trade
77
HOLDING FRANK B JR (Chairman and CEO, Director, 10% Owner) sold FCNCA shares ($10.26M) - 5346 shares - [strong very bearish signal]
TRX
slightly bullish
volume
100
TRX/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 4% of expected volume for Wednesday 23:00 UTC, price up 2.33% (strength 100)
POL
very bearish
price
100
POL/JPY downtrend (drop): price -5.86% (strength 100, current 15.11)
AQST
Aquestive Therapeutics Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
AQST filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Earnings Release - 6 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
MU
Micron Technology, Inc. Common Stock
very bearish
technical
91
MU RSI overbought at 90.5 (>70), strength 91
MBIN
Merchants Bancorp
very bearish
insider trade
71
Petrie Michael F. (Chairman and CEO, Director, 10% Owner) sold MBIN shares ($0.94M) - 20000 shares - [strong very bearish signal]
ORDI
very bearish
volume
100
ORDI/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Wednesday 23:00 UTC, price down 17.58% (strength 100)
ONDO
very bearish
price
100
ONDO/USDT:USDT downtrend (drop): price -12.17% (strength 100, current 0.3841)
ALLO
Allogene Therapeutics, Inc.
bullish
corporate event
100
ALLO filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Earnings Release - 3 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
SOL
bearish
technical
90
SOL/EUR MACD bearish crossover, histogram -0.114791, strength 90
ARTV
Artiva Biotherapeutics Inc
very bullish
insider trade
68
RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. (Director, 10% Owner) purchased ARTV shares ($75.00M) - 6510416 shares - [strong very bullish signal]

Insider filings

Insider filings show large-scale sales and purchases by key executives and institutions.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $146.4B 2026-05-04
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $13.8B 2026-05-05
ORCL Maxson Hilary B Chief Financial Officer grant $41.6M 2026-05-05
NONE GS FUND HOLDINGS, L.L.C. purchase $25.0M 2026-05-01
GOLD Tether Global Investments Fund, S.I.C.A.F., S.A. purchase $23.6M 2026-05-05
LLY LILLY ENDOWMENT INC sale $13.6M 2026-05-06
ALKT GENERAL ATLANTIC GENPAR (BERMUDA), L.P. purchase $8.8M 2026-05-04
ALKT GENERAL ATLANTIC, L.P. purchase $8.8M 2026-05-04
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $7.3M 2026-05-04
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $6.4M 2026-05-05
P Colgrove John Chief Visionary Officer sale $5.8M 2026-05-05
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $5.0M 2026-05-04
GEHC CULP H LAWRENCE JR purchase $5.0M 2026-05-06
GLW Schlesinger Edward A Exec. Vice President and CFO sale $4.2M 2026-05-07
WMB Porter John Dean EVP & CFO sale $3.8M 2026-05-06
SPOT Soderstrom Gustav Co-Chief Executive Officer exercise $3.2M 2026-05-05
CFTR-PRA Lutnick Brandon purchase $2.5M 2026-04-08
KN Niew Jeffrey President & CEO exercise $2.4M 2026-05-05
SRAD Koerl Carsten Chief Executive Officer purchase $2.1M 2026-05-06
DDOG Acocella Kerry General Counsel and Secretary sale $2.1M 2026-05-05

8-K items

SEC filings include delisting notices, changes in control, and off-balance sheet arrangements.

Company Item Materiality Filed
PRPL Item 3.01 PRPL - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-11
— Item 5.01 BRYN INC. - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-11
KZR Item 3.01 KZR - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-11
KZR Item 5.01 KZR - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-11
UDMY Item 3.01 UDMY - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-11
UDMY Item 5.01 UDMY - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-11
RMTI Item 3.01 RMTI - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CTLP Item 3.01 CTLP - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CTLP Item 5.01 CTLP - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant 1.00 2026-05-08
HUMA Item 3.01 HUMA - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
ALCYU Item 3.01 ALCYU - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
ADTX Item 3.01 ADTX - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CCEL Item 3.01 CCEL - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
DFNS Item 3.01 DFNS - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing 1.00 2026-05-08
CBFV Item 1.05 CBFV - 1.05 - Material Cybersecurity Incidents 0.95 2026-05-11
ARCC Item 2.03 ARCC - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
GTM Item 2.03 GTM - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
MGRC Item 2.03 MGRC - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
CACC Item 2.03 CACC - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11
VRDN Item 2.03 VRDN - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant 0.95 2026-05-11

SEC filings radar

SEC filings radar highlights tender offers, significant stake acquisitions, and large proposed sales.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-01
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-20
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-17
Tender offer — Unknown Subject Company — 2026-04-14
13D/G — Pershing Square USA, Ltd. - SC_13D Pershing Square USA, Ltd. 100% stake 2026-04-30
13D/G — Advisors' Inner Circle Fund III - SC_13G Advisors' Inner Circle Fund III 98.03% stake 2025-03-31
13D/G — Advisors' Inner Circle Fund III - SC_13G Advisors' Inner Circle Fund III 97.77% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — C3is Inc. - SC_13D C3is Inc. 90.2% stake 2026-05-04
Form 144 — Crescent Energy Company - Liberty Mutual Foundation Inc. Crescent Energy Company $427.1M proposed sale 2026-05-07
Form 144 — Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. - Green LTF Holdings II LP Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. $157.8M proposed sale 2026-05-08
Form 144 — MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. - OCAMPO SUSAN MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. $132.7M proposed sale 2026-05-08
Form 144 — Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. - TPG VII Magni SPV, L.P. Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. $104.9M proposed sale 2026-05-08
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-27
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-1/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-27
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-3/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-27
Registration — Unknown Issuer - S-3/A Unknown Issuer — 2026-04-30
13F — VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC - 13F VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC $1886.8B portfolio, 3040 positions 2026-03-31
13F — Invesco Ltd. - 13F Invesco Ltd. $653.3B portfolio, 23552 positions 2026-03-31
13F — BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS - 13F BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS $205.8B portfolio, 17681 positions 2026-03-31
13F — Creative Planning - 13F Creative Planning $147.4B portfolio, 4753 positions 2026-03-31

Prediction markets

Prediction markets show low probabilities for most football outcomes, except for France and Argentina.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $125.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.2% $125.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18% $122.5M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 38.6% $108.8M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $104.7M polymarket 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $102.9M polymarket 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 16.7% $99.2M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC

In the news

Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.

Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.

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