Weekly market brief: May 1 – May 7, 2026
QuantConomy Weekly digest
Strong bullish signals are evident across multiple tickers, including SHPH, PSUS, and HWH, with significant insider buying and material filings indicating potential acquisitions or dispositions. Meanwhile, prediction markets show a strong consensus on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and a high probability of France winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting geopolitical and sporting trends.
- Signals
- 20
- Insider trades
- 20
- SEC filings
- 16
- Prediction markets
- 20
- News
- 20
Strongest signals
Cluster buying detected in multiple high-value insider trades for PSUS, indicating strong bullish sentiment.
| Asset | Signal | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| neutral volume | 100 | AAVE/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.29% (strength 100) | |
| very bearish price | 100 | TST/TRY downtrend (drop): price -10.72% (strength 100, current 1.124) | |
| Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Inc | bullish corporate event | 100 | SHPH filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Unregistered Sales of Equity - 5 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bearish technical | 97 | CETUS/USDT RSI overbought at 96.9 (>70), strength 97 | |
| Pershing Square USA, Ltd | very bullish insider trade | 85 | Cluster buying detected: 7 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.7500000010000048e+47M total - 96000000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal] |
| slightly bullish volume | 100 | BROCCOLI714/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price up 1.17% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | TST/USDT uptrend (gain): price 19.10% (strength 100, current 0.027) | |
| Coterra Energy Inc | very bearish corporate event | 100 | CTRA filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bullish technical | 95 | TRUMP/USDT RSI oversold at 4.8 (<30), strength 95 | |
| Pershing Square USA, Ltd | bullish insider trade | 80 | Cluster buying detected: 3 insider trades for PSUS worth $17500000010000050.00M total - 100000 shares - [very strong bullish signal] |
| slightly bullish volume | 100 | GRT/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price up 0.77% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | TST/TRY uptrend (gain): price 7.58% (strength 100, current 1.348) | |
| HWH International Inc | bullish corporate event | 100 | HWH filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Director or Officer Changes - 3 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bearish technical | 94 | LUNC/TRY RSI overbought at 93.9 (>70), strength 94 | |
| Pershing Square USA, Ltd | very bullish insider trade | 80 | Cluster buying detected: 6 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.750000001000005e+39M total - 100000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal] |
| slightly bullish volume | 100 | THETA/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Thursday 23:00 UTC, price up 0.76% (strength 100) | |
| Themes ETF Trust Leverage Shares 2X Long XYZ Daily ETF | very bullish price | 100 | XYZG uptrend (gain): price 15.13% (strength 100, current 17.5) |
| CARNIVAL CORP | very bearish corporate event | 100 | CCL filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 7 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| slightly bullish technical | 93 | BAT/USDT touching lower Bollinger Band, %B -43.3%, strength 93 | |
| Pershing Square USA, Ltd | very bullish insider trade | 80 | Cluster buying detected: 5 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.750000001000005e+32M total - 200000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal] |
Insider filings
ACKMAN WILLIAM A purchased $175.0M worth of PSUS shares, the largest individual purchase among recent filings.
| Ticker | Insider | Type | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOW | McDermott William R Chairman & CEO | grant | $242.1M | 2026-04-29 |
| SXT | Winder Pte. Ltd. | sale | $233.4M | 2026-04-30 |
| PSUS | ACKMAN WILLIAM A Chief Executive Officer | purchase | $175.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| CNXC | Groupe Bruxelles Lambert | sale | $133.5M | 2026-04-29 |
| NOW | Mastantuono Gina President and CFO | grant | $25.7M | 2026-04-29 |
| PSUS | ISRAEL RYAN Chief Investment Officer | purchase | $25.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| ACT | Genworth Holdings, Inc. | sale | $23.8M | 2026-04-30 |
| FLUT | DART KENNETH BRYAN | purchase | $15.6M | 2026-04-30 |
| NOW | Canney Jacqueline P Chief People & AI Enblmt. Off. | grant | $12.8M | 2026-04-29 |
| PSUS | Botta Nicholas Anthony Director | purchase | $12.5M | 2026-04-30 |
| PSUS | Coussin Halit Chief Compliance Officer | purchase | $10.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| NONE | PRUDENTIAL INSURANCE CO OF AMERICA | purchase | $8.2M | 2026-04-29 |
| HTFL | Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC | sale | $7.8M | 2026-04-28 |
| PJT | Taubman Paul J Chairman and CEO | exercise | $5.5M | 2026-04-30 |
| PSUS | Hakim Ben President | purchase | $5.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| PSUS | Gonnella Michael Chief Financial Officer | purchase | $5.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| SANM | Licata Joseph G Jr | sale | $3.5M | 2026-04-29 |
| BPOP | BALLESTER ALEJANDRO M Director | sale | $3.5M | 2026-04-30 |
| COCO | Kirban Michael Executive Chairman | sale | $3.4M | 2026-04-30 |
| NONE | LIBERTY MUTUAL HOLDING Co INC. | purchase | $3.0M | 2026-04-30 |
SEC filings radar
Multiple large stakes in companies were reported, with Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II acquiring a 100% stake.
| Kind | Ticker | Filing | Detail | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13D/G | — | Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II - SC_13D Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II | 100% stake | 2026-04-30 |
| 13D/G | — | PGIM Real Estate Fund Inc. - SC_13D PGIM Real Estate Fund Inc. | 96.9% stake | 2026-04-29 |
| 13D/G | — | Franklin BSP Lending Fund - SC_13D Franklin BSP Lending Fund | 87.6% stake | 2026-04-28 |
| 13D/G | — | Z Squared Inc. - SC_13D Z Squared Inc. | 80.73% stake | 2026-04-24 |
| Form 144 | — | CARVANA CO. - GARCIA ERNEST C. II CARVANA CO. | $1.6B proposed sale | 2026-05-01 |
| Form 144 | — | United Therapeutics Corporation - MARTINE ROTHBLATT United Therapeutics Corporation | $108.6M proposed sale | 2026-05-01 |
| Form 144 | — | Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. - Warmuth Markus Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. | $103.4M proposed sale | 2026-05-01 |
| Form 144 | — | FTAI Aviation Ltd. - TUCHMAN MARTIN FTAI Aviation Ltd. | $34.8M proposed sale | 2026-05-01 |
| 13F | — | Bank of New York Mellon Corp - 13F Bank of New York Mellon Corp | $543.9B portfolio, 33728 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | IMC-Chicago, LLC - 13F IMC-Chicago, LLC | $278.4B portfolio, 6112 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | Swiss National Bank - 13F Swiss National Bank | $173.8B portfolio, 2301 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | California Public Employees Retirement System - 13F California Public Employees Retirement System | $162.5B portfolio, 1064 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| Financial report | — | Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company | — | 2026-05-08 |
| Financial report | TWLO | TWLO - 10-Q - Q1 TWILIO INC. | Q1 2026 | 2026-05-01 |
| Financial report | — | Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company | — | 2026-05-08 |
| Financial report | GRDX | GRDX - 10-K - FY GRIDAI TECHNOLOGIES CORP | FY 2025 | 2026-05-01 |
Prediction markets
The prediction market for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026, has a 100% probability, indicating high confidence in a ceasefire.
| Question | Yes | Volume | Platform | Snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 0.3% | $363.8M | polymarket | 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $158.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $152.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $142.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 100% | $138.4M | polymarket | 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $137.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2.2% | $125.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6.2% | $125.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 18% | $122.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1.8% | $121.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $119.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $111.7M | polymarket | 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 38.6% | $108.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.5M | polymarket | 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.4M | polymarket | 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $104.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $102.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 16.7% | $99.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
In the news
Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.
- 2026-05-07 snap-inc
- 2026-05-07 globalaustralian
- 2026-05-07 china
- 2026-05-07 axcelis-technologies-inc
- positive2026-05-07 direxion-daily-healthcare-bull-3x
- 2026-05-07 global
- 2026-05-07 bitcoin
- 2026-05-07 bitcoin
- 2026-05-07 encore-wire-corp
- 2026-05-07 evercommerce-inc
- 2026-05-07 tesla-inc
- positive2026-05-07 hill-inc
- 2026-05-07 chinaglobal
- 2026-05-07 bitcoin
- positive2026-05-07 yum-china-incyum-china-holdings-inc
- 2026-05-07 live-ventures-inc
- 2026-05-07 apple-inc
- 2026-05-07 alphabet-inc
- 2026-05-07 softbank
- 2026-05-07 alta-equipment-incalta-equipment-group-inc
Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record;
the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.
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