Skip to content
QuantConomy

Daily market brief: May 2, 2026

QuantConomy Daily digest

Strong signals point to a downturn across several cryptocurrencies, including ONT, BAT, DOT, RUNE, and LUNA, while MOVR shows an uptrend. Insider filings and SEC filings indicate significant activity, particularly in CRWV and SYRE, while prediction markets suggest high confidence in a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and lower probabilities for most football teams to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Signals
12
Insider trades
20
SEC filings
4
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Multiple tokens show strong volume dry-ups and price movements, indicating potential market shifts.

Asset Signal Score Detail
CFX
neutral
volume
100
CFX/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Saturday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
ONT
very bearish
price
100
ONT/BTC downtrend (drop): price -9.80% (strength 100, current 9.2e-7)
BAT
slightly bullish
technical
93
BAT/USDT touching lower Bollinger Band, %B -43.3%, strength 93
ICP
neutral
volume
100
ICP/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Saturday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
DOT
very bearish
price
100
DOT/BTC downtrend (drop): price -9.25% (strength 100, current 0.00001531)
RUNE
very bearish
technical
93
RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93
RUNE
neutral
volume
100
RUNE/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Saturday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
MOVR
very bullish
price
100
MOVR/TRY uptrend (gain): price 7.29% (strength 100, current 116.2)
TRUMP
very bullish
technical
91
TRUMP/JPY RSI oversold at 9.3 (<30), strength 91
KAITO
neutral
volume
100
KAITO/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Saturday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
LUNA
very bearish
price
100
LUNA/USDT downtrend (drop): price -5.91% (strength 100, current 0.0669)
CETUS
very bearish
technical
89
CETUS/USDC RSI overbought at 88.7 (>70), strength 89

Insider filings

Several insiders from various companies have sold or exercised options, with Magnetar Financial LLC and SYRE being notable.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $582.6B 2026-04-29
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $36.4B 2026-05-01
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $2.4M 2026-05-01
SYRE Sloan Sheldon Chief Medical Officer exercise $2.2M 2026-05-01
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $2.0M 2026-05-01
SYRE Turtle Cameron Chief Executive Officer sale $369K 2026-05-01
ADBE Forusz Jillian SVP & CAO sale $186K 2026-04-30
SYRE Burrows Scott L Chief Financial Officer exercise $181K 2026-05-01
ALKS Hopkinson Craig C. EVP R&D, Chief Medical Officer exercise $97K 2026-05-01
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $66K 2026-04-30
DK Yemin Ezra Uzi sale $51K 2026-04-29
CRWD Kurtz George PRESIDENT AND CEO sale $23K 2026-04-29
CCB Hamilton Brian T President of CCBX other $17K 2026-05-01
LASE Lu Qing sale $2K 2026-04-25
PRKS Kelly Thomas Brian Chief Legal Officer grant $0 2026-03-06
IMMR MARTIN WILLIAM C Chief Strategy Officer grant $0 2026-04-30
PRKS Dold Christopher Chief Zoological Officer grant $0 2026-04-29
PRKS Miller Kyle Robert See Remarks grant $0 2026-04-29
PRKS Connelly Kevin M. Chief Accounting Officer grant $0 2026-04-29
PRKS Forrester James W Jr See Remarks grant $0 2026-04-29

SEC filings radar

Significant stakes have been reported in several funds and companies, with PGIM Real Estate Fund Inc. holding a 96.9% stake.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
13D/G — PGIM Real Estate Fund Inc. - SC_13D PGIM Real Estate Fund Inc. 96.9% stake 2026-04-29
13D/G — Prospect Floating Rate & Alternative Income Fund, Inc. - SC_13D Prospect Floating Rate & Alternative Income Fund, Inc. 79.7% stake 2026-05-01
13D/G — Legence Corp. - SC_13G Legence Corp. 61.1% stake 2026-03-31
13D/G — iSHARES TRUST - SC_13G iSHARES TRUST 59.72% stake 2026-01-12

Prediction markets

Prediction markets are dominated by low probabilities for most football outcomes, with France and Argentina having higher chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $125.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.2% $125.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18% $122.5M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 38.6% $108.8M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $104.7M polymarket 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $102.9M polymarket 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 16.7% $99.2M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC

In the news

Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.

Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.

Get the brief in your inbox

Ranked, source-linked signals for your dashboard and your AI agents. Early access is opening in stages.

Join early access Build your own with MCP