Weekly market brief: May 3 – May 9, 2026
QuantConomy Weekly digest
Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups for AVAX/EUR and IOTA/BTC, alongside significant insider selling in MBIN and LTH shares. CETUS/USDT and JASMY/USDT show strong uptrends, while CTLP and EWCZ face delisting notices. Prediction markets lean towards a France victory in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with strong support. This is market context, not advice.
- Signals
- 20
- Insider trades
- 20
- 8-K items
- 20
- SEC filings
- 20
- Prediction markets
- 20
- News
- 20
Strongest signals
Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups and significant insider buying, with strong bullish and bearish signals across various assets.
| Asset | Signal | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| neutral volume | 100 | AVAX/EUR sustained volume dry-up: 12% of expected volume for Saturday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | VELODROME/USDT uptrend (gain): price 6.67% (strength 100, current 0.01872) | |
| CANTALOUPE INC | very bearish corporate event | 100 | CTLP filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bearish technical | 97 | CETUS/USDT RSI overbought at 96.9 (>70), strength 97 | |
| Pershing Square USA, Ltd | very bullish insider trade | 85 | Cluster buying detected: 7 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.7500000010000048e+47M total - 96000000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal] |
| neutral volume | 100 | IOTA/BTC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Saturday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | CETUS/USDC uptrend (gain): price 15.45% (strength 100, current 0.03437) | |
| SERVICE STREAM LTD | slightly bullish corporate event | 100 | SSM filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Exit or Disposal Costs - 4 material events - [very strong slightly bullish signal] |
| very bullish technical | 95 | TRUMP/USDT RSI oversold at 4.8 (<30), strength 95 | |
| Merchants Bancorp | very bearish insider trade | 71 | Petrie Michael F. (Chairman and CEO, Director, 10% Owner) sold MBIN shares ($0.94M) - 20000 shares - [strong very bearish signal] |
| neutral volume | 100 | GPS/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Saturday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | TOWNS/USDT uptrend (gain): price 5.07% (strength 100, current 0.00394) | |
| European Wax Center Inc | very bearish corporate event | 100 | EWCZ filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 9 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bearish technical | 94 | LUNC/TRY RSI overbought at 93.9 (>70), strength 94 | |
| Life Time Inc | very bearish insider trade | 68 | DANHAKL JOHN G (Director, 10% Owner) sold LTH shares ($71.30M) - 2493083 shares - [strong very bearish signal] |
| neutral volume | 100 | AVAX/EUR sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Saturday 22:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | JASMY/USDT uptrend (gain): price 7.02% (strength 100, current 0.00701) | |
| Koppers Inc | bearish corporate event | 100 | KOP filed 8-K: Earnings Release, Exit or Disposal Costs, Director or Officer Changes - 4 material events - [very strong bearish signal] |
| very bearish technical | 93 | RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93 | |
| Life Time Inc | very bearish insider trade | 68 | Green LTF Holdings II LP (Director, 10% Owner) sold LTH shares ($70.00M) - 2447621 shares - [strong very bearish signal] |
Insider filings
Insider filings show large-scale purchases and sales by key executives and institutions, with notable sales by CEO and Chairman.
| Ticker | Insider | Type | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIVN | VOLKSWAGEN AG | purchase | $999.9M | 2026-04-30 |
| JEF | SUMITOMO MITSUI FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. Director | purchase | $310.0M | 2026-05-01 |
| CLOO | VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | purchase | $24.9M | 2026-05-01 |
| N/A | Manufacturers Life Reinsurance Ltd | purchase | $16.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| TEVA | Sabag Mark See "Remarks" | sale | $5.0M | 2026-05-01 |
| EME | Schwarzwaelder Steven | sale | $5.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| LRCX | Fernandes Neil J Senior Vice President | sale | $4.6M | 2026-05-01 |
| CNK | Zoradi Mark Director | sale | $4.4M | 2026-05-01 |
| INTC | Miller Boise April EVP and Chief Legal Officer | sale | $4.0M | 2026-05-01 |
| N/A | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co (Bermuda Branch) | purchase | $4.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| NFLX | HASTINGS REED | exercise | $4.0M | 2026-05-01 |
| UWMC | Mat Ishbia President and CEO | sale | $3.3M | 2026-04-30 |
| ATO | AKERS JOHN K PRESIDENT & CEO | exercise | $3.2M | 2026-05-02 |
| VIAV | BELLUZZO RICHARD | sale | $2.7M | 2026-05-04 |
| CSGP | FLORANCE ANDREW C President and CEO | purchase | $2.4M | 2026-05-01 |
| PRLD | Morris Charles Q Chief Medical Officer | grant | $2.1M | 2026-05-01 |
| N/A | Manulife (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. | purchase | $2.0M | 2026-04-30 |
| MMM | Banovetz John Patrick Executive Vice President | exercise | $1.9M | 2026-05-01 |
| ECAT | Saba Capital Management, L.P. | sale | $1.8M | 2026-04-30 |
| QCOM | AMON CRISTIANO R President & CEO | sale | $1.8M | 2026-05-04 |
8-K items
SEC filings include delisting notices, changes in control, and significant financial obligations, indicating material events for the companies involved.
| Company | Item | Materiality | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|
| RMTI | Item 3.01 RMTI - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| CTLP | Item 3.01 CTLP - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| CTLP | Item 5.01 CTLP - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| HUMA | Item 3.01 HUMA - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| ALCYU | Item 3.01 ALCYU - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| ADTX | Item 3.01 ADTX - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| CCEL | Item 3.01 CCEL - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| DFNS | Item 3.01 DFNS - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-05-08 |
| — | Item 2.03 LIFELOC TECHNOLOGIES, INC. - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| LYV | Item 2.03 LYV - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| CTLP | Item 2.01 CTLP - 2.01 - Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| CTGO | Item 2.03 CTGO - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| PED | Item 2.03 PED - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| ILPT | Item 2.03 ILPT - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| KNX | Item 2.03 KNX - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| BKHAU | Item 2.03 BKHAU - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| TBH | Item 2.03 TBH - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| — | Item 2.01 THE CANNABIST COMPANY HOLDINGS INC. - 2.01 - Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| VIASP | Item 2.03 VIASP - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
| AZZ | Item 2.03 AZZ - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-05-08 |
SEC filings radar
SEC filings radar highlights tender offers, significant stake acquisitions, and large proposed sales, with a focus on institutional investments and corporate actions.
| Kind | Ticker | Filing | Detail | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2026-04-01 |
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2026-04-20 |
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2026-04-17 |
| Tender offer | — | Unknown Subject Company | — | 2026-04-14 |
| 13D/G | — | Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II - SC_13D Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II | 100% stake | 2026-04-30 |
| 13D/G | — | C3is Inc. - SC_13D C3is Inc. | 90.2% stake | 2026-05-04 |
| 13D/G | — | iShares MSCI USA Small-Cap Quality Factor ETF - SC_13G iShares MSCI USA Small-Cap Quality Factor ETF | 83.3% stake | 2026-04-30 |
| 13D/G | — | Diameter Dynamic Credit Fund - SC_13D Diameter Dynamic Credit Fund | 80.9% stake | 2026-04-24 |
| Form 144 | — | United Therapeutics Corporation - JAMES C EDGEMOND United Therapeutics Corporation | $84.8M proposed sale | 2026-05-04 |
| Form 144 | — | CoreWeave, Inc. - WEST CLAY CAPITAL LLC CoreWeave, Inc. | $35.7M proposed sale | 2026-05-04 |
| Form 144 | — | COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC. - BRIAN E LANE COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC. | $21.9M proposed sale | 2026-05-05 |
| Form 144 | — | Luckin Coffee Inc. - Camel Zhengkai Limited Luckin Coffee Inc. | $18.4M proposed sale | 2026-05-05 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - S-1/A Unknown Issuer | — | 2026-04-27 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - S-1/A Unknown Issuer | — | 2026-04-27 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - S-3/A Unknown Issuer | — | 2026-04-27 |
| Registration | — | Unknown Issuer - S-3/A Unknown Issuer | — | 2026-04-30 |
| 13F | — | VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC - 13F VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | $1886.8B portfolio, 3040 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | Bank of New York Mellon Corp - 13F Bank of New York Mellon Corp | $543.9B portfolio, 33728 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | IMC-Chicago, LLC - 13F IMC-Chicago, LLC | $278.4B portfolio, 6112 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | Vanguard Global Advisers, LLC - 13F Vanguard Global Advisers, LLC | $185.0B portfolio, 3616 positions | 2026-03-31 |
Prediction markets
Prediction markets show low probabilities for most football World Cup outcomes, with high confidence in a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and France winning the tournament.
| Question | Yes | Volume | Platform | Snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 0.3% | $363.8M | polymarket | 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $158.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $152.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $142.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 100% | $138.4M | polymarket | 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $137.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2.2% | $125.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6.2% | $125.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 18% | $122.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1.8% | $121.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $119.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $111.7M | polymarket | 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 38.6% | $108.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.5M | polymarket | 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.4M | polymarket | 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $104.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $102.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 16.7% | $99.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
In the news
Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.
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Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record;
the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.
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