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QuantConomy

Weekly market brief: Apr 18 – Apr 24, 2026

QuantConomy Weekly digest

Strong bullish signals are evident in ARI and MSGM, with significant material agreements and acquisitions, while TRX/USDT remains overbought in prediction markets. Conversely, a cluster of bearish signals is highlighted by insider selling in SLDE, BANF, and ACRV, alongside sustained volume dry-ups in multiple assets.

Signals
20
Insider trades
20
SEC filings
16
Prediction markets
20
News
20

Strongest signals

Strong bullish signals include ARI and MSGM, while strong bearish signals are from SNTI and RAINBOLT DAVID E's sale of BANF shares.

Asset Signal Score Detail
KMNO
neutral
volume
100
KMNO/USDT:USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Friday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
OPRX
OptimizeRx Corporation Common Stock
very bearish
price
100
OPRX downtrend (drop): price -9.58% (strength 100, current 6.465)
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
ARI filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
TRX
very bearish
technical
91
TRX/USDT RSI overbought at 90.9 (>70), strength 91
SLDE
Slide Insurance Holdings Inc
very bearish
insider trade
72
Lucas Bruce (Chief Executive Officer, Director, 10% Owner) sold SLDE shares ($2.31M) - 118055 shares - [strong very bearish signal]
CELO
neutral
volume
100
CELO/TRY sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Friday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
CADL
Candel Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
very bearish
price
100
CADL downtrend (drop): price -7.82% (strength 100, current 6.72)
SNTI
Senti Biosciences Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
SNTI filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Delisting Notice - 7 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
TRX
very bearish
technical
90
TRX/USDT RSI overbought at 90.3 (>70), strength 90
AEHR
AEHR TEST SYSTEMS
bearish
insider trade
71
Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for AEHR worth $660675218790.61M total - 6486 shares - [strong bearish signal]
MORPHO
neutral
volume
100
MORPHO/USDT:USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Friday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.00% (strength 100)
LWLG
Lightwave Logic, Inc. Common Stock
very bullish
price
100
LWLG uptrend (gain): price 5.04% (strength 100, current 12.72)
MSGM
Motorsport Games Inc
bullish
corporate event
100
MSGM filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Modification to Rights of Security Holders - 5 material events - [very strong bullish signal]
POL
very bullish
technical
90
POL/ETH RSI oversold at 9.7 (<30), strength 90
ACRV
Acrivon Therapeutics Inc
neutral
insider trade
70
RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. (Director, 10% Owner) was granted ACRV shares ($7.00M) - 3888888 shares - [strong neutral signal]
OP
neutral
volume
100
OP/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 6% of expected volume for Friday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.08% (strength 100)
AAOI
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. Common Stock
very bullish
price
100
AAOI uptrend (gain): price 10.76% (strength 100, current 159.995)
DAWN
Day One Biopharmaceuticals Inc
very bearish
corporate event
100
DAWN filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal]
TRX
very bearish
technical
90
TRX/USDT RSI overbought at 90.2 (>70), strength 90
BANF
BANCFIRST CORP
very bearish
insider trade
70
RAINBOLT DAVID E (Director, 10% Owner) sold BANF shares ($2.02M) - 17527 shares - [strong very bearish signal]

Insider filings

Multiple executives sold significant shares, with strong bearish signals from RAINBOLT DAVID E and CRWV's Magnetar Financial LLC.

Ticker Insider Type Value Filed
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $619.6B 2026-04-15
FLUT DART KENNETH BRYAN purchase $102.9M 2026-04-16
RDW AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC sale $33.2M 2026-04-16
LNBIX Lincoln Financial Investments Corp purchase $25.0M 2026-04-16
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $12.9M 2026-04-16
THM PAULSON & CO. INC. purchase $12.6M 2026-04-16
CRWV Magnetar Financial LLC sale $10.5M 2026-04-16
ROIV Gline Matthew CEO sale $8.4M 2026-04-16
SE Ma David Y Director sale $7.5M 2026-04-16
ANET Ullal Jayshree CEO and Chairperson sale $7.3M 2026-04-16
CDNS WALL JOHN M Sr. VP & CFO sale $6.7M 2026-04-16
JXG Sun Lei CEO, Interim CFO, Co-Chair other $6.3M 2026-04-10
ENTG LOY BERTRAND Executive Chair exercise $4.3M 2026-04-17
DYN Kersten Dirk Director sale $4.3M 2026-04-17
PAM Mindlin Marcos Marcelo sale $4.3M 2026-04-20
ASX Chen Jeffrey sale $4.0M 2026-04-16
UWMC Mat Ishbia President and CEO sale $3.8M 2026-04-16
CAR Pentwater Capital Management LP other $2.9M 2026-04-17
HOMB ALLISON JOHN W Chairman & CEO purchase $2.7M 2026-04-17
ORCL Levey Stuart EVP, Chief Legal Officer sale $2.6M 2026-04-16

SEC filings radar

Notable SEC filings include Icahn Enterprises L.P. with an 86.89% stake and Pictet Asset Management with a $94.8B portfolio.

Kind Ticker Filing Detail Filed
13D/G — Icahn Enterprises L.P. - SC_13D Icahn Enterprises L.P. 86.89% stake 2026-04-15
13D/G — SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc - SC_13D SBC Medical Group Holdings Inc 82.2% stake 2026-04-19
13D/G — Beneficient - SC_13D Beneficient 81.2% stake 2026-03-10
13D/G — Lincoln Partners Group Royalty Fund - SC_13D Lincoln Partners Group Royalty Fund 80.94% stake 2025-12-19
Form 144 — METHANEX CORP - OCI N.V., OCI Chemicals B.V. METHANEX CORP $141.4M proposed sale 2026-04-20
Form 144 — Redwire Corp - Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP Redwire Corp $135.1M proposed sale 2026-04-23
Form 144 — COREWEAVE, INC. - WEST CLAY CAPITAL LLC COREWEAVE, INC. $105.2M proposed sale 2026-04-20
Form 144 — Redwire Corp - AE Red Holdings, LLC Redwire Corp $96.7M proposed sale 2026-04-23
13F — Pictet Asset Management Holding SA - 13F Pictet Asset Management Holding SA $94.8B portfolio, 2102 positions 2026-03-31
13F — Assenagon Asset Management S.A. - 13F Assenagon Asset Management S.A. $65.9B portfolio, 1095 positions 2026-03-31
13F — Ninety One UK Ltd - 13F Ninety One UK Ltd $43.1B portfolio, 237 positions 2026-03-31
13F — IFM Investors Pty Ltd - 13F IFM Investors Pty Ltd $12.0B portfolio, 689 positions 2026-03-31
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08
Financial report — Unknown Company - 8-K Unknown Company — 2026-05-08

Prediction markets

High confidence in a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026, and low confidence in most other World Cup prediction markets.

Question Yes Volume Platform Snapshot
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? 0.3% $363.8M polymarket 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? 0.2% $283.8M polymarket 2026-05-01 00:35 UTC
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $158.6M polymarket 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $152.3M polymarket 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $142.5M polymarket 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? 100% $138.4M polymarket 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $137.8M polymarket 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 2.2% $125.7M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 6.2% $125.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 18% $122.5M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1.8% $121.6M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $119.2M polymarket 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $111.7M polymarket 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.5M polymarket 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $109.1M polymarket 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 38.6% $108.8M polymarket 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.5M polymarket 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $107.4M polymarket 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $104.7M polymarket 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 0.1% $102.9M polymarket 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC

In the news

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Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record; the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.

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