Daily market brief: June 25, 2026
Strong signals include major volume spikes in PAXG/BTC and TMS, alongside significant insider selling in AVGO and LEA, and large Form 144 filings for VICR and ROIV. Prediction markets show a strong bullish sentiment on France and Argentina winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, while market context reveals a mix of bullish and bearish signals from various filings and insider trades.
- Signals
- 19
- Top stories
- 20
- Insider trades
- 20
- 8-K items
- 20
- SEC filings
- 16
- Prediction markets
- 20
Strongest signals
Major volume spikes and strong bullish and bearish signals from insider trades and Form 144 filings.
| Asset | Signal | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| neutral volume | 100 | PAXG/BTC major volume spike: 5518% of expected volume for Thursday 20:00 UTC, price flat 0.16% (strength 100) | |
| TENNANT MINERALS LTD | bullish corporate event | 100 | TMS filed 8-K: Unregistered Sales of Equity, Material Definitive Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 9 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| Broadcom Inc. | bearish proposed sale | 80 | Samueli Foundation filed Form 144 to sell AVGO shares ($71.21M) - 186089 shares - expected around 6/24/2026 - [strong bearish signal - supply pressure] |
| C3is Inc. | slightly bullish ownership | 65 | Imperial Petroleum Inc. increased passive stake in CISS from 6.50% to 82.90% - (13G - passive investment) - 7,171,543 shares - [moderate slightly bullish signal] |
| ServiceTitan Inc | bearish insider trade | 64 | Cluster selling detected: 3 insider trades for TTAN worth $0.57M total - 8,845 shares - [moderate bearish signal] |
| very bullish price | 62 | ACE/TRY uptrend (gain): price 3.10% (strength 62, current 3.627) | |
| slightly bearish volume | 100 | OPEN/USDT major volume spike: 2144% of expected volume for Thursday 14:00 UTC, price down 1.57% (strength 100) | |
| Clearwater Analytics Inc | very bearish corporate event | 100 | CWAN filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition - 10 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| VICOR CORP | very bearish proposed sale | 72 | Cluster of 3 Form 144 filings for VICR - total $731060067224006.38M proposed sales - 20000 shares - expected around 6/25/2026 - [strong very bearish signal - supply pressure] |
| Imperial Petroleum Inc./Marshall Islands | slightly bullish ownership | 65 | Flawless Management Inc. increased passive stake in IMPP from 4.99% to 31.90% - (13G - passive investment) - 14,266,903 shares - [moderate slightly bullish signal] |
| UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp | slightly bullish insider trade | 60 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A (Chairperson & CEO, Director) exercised options for UTHR shares ($1.29M) - 9,500 shares - [moderate slightly bullish signal] |
| neutral volume | 100 | PAXG/BTC major volume spike: 2825% of expected volume for Thursday 8:00 UTC, price flat 0.30% (strength 100) | |
| AMERICAS CARMART INC | bullish corporate event | 95 | CRMT filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Director or Officer Changes, Other Events - 3 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| Roivant Sciences Ltd. | bearish proposed sale | 71 | Cluster of 2 Form 144 filings for ROIV - total $6.63M proposed sales - 500000 shares - expected around 6/25/2026 - [strong bearish signal - supply pressure] |
| AMREP CORP. | slightly bullish ownership | 62 | James H. Dahl increased passive stake in AXR from 17.80% to 18.80% - (13G - passive investment) - 998,729 shares - [moderate slightly bullish signal] |
| LEAR CORP | very bearish insider trade | 60 | SCOTT RAYMOND E (President and CEO, Director) sold LEA shares ($2.19M) - 16,316 shares - [moderate very bearish signal] |
| slightly bullish volume | 100 | ADA/TRY major volume spike: 2602% of expected volume for Thursday 0:00 UTC, price up 0.58% (strength 100) | |
| Floor & Decor Inc | bullish corporate event | 95 | FND filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Direct Financial Obligation - 3 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| Lotus Technology Inc. | neutral ownership | 60 | Etika Automotive Sdn Bhd decreased passive stake in LOT from 56.00% to 27.80% - (13G - passive investment) - 179,754,096 shares - [moderate neutral signal] |
Top stories
Clusters of insider trades and Form 144 filings indicating potential supply pressure.
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Insider filings
Significant insider purchases and sales with large dollar amounts and percentage stakes.
| Ticker | Insider | Type | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KARD | HRTG GPE, LLC | purchase | $50.0M | 2026-06-22 |
| HGV | Apollo Principal Holdings A GP, Ltd. | other | $37.5M | 2026-06-22 |
| FLUT | DART KENNETH BRYAN | purchase | $34.5M | 2026-06-23 |
| NONE | Waxman Alan Vice President | purchase | $19.7M | 2026-06-23 |
| APGE | HENDERSON MICHAEL THOMAS Chief Executive Officer | sale | $10.6M | 2026-06-22 |
| HNGE | Insight Holdings Group, LLC | sale | $8.5M | 2026-06-22 |
| FNF | Dhanidina Halim | sale | $4.0M | 2026-06-25 |
| APGE | Dambkowski Carl Chief Medical Officer | sale | $3.5M | 2026-06-22 |
| TRLV | Rivers Kim A. Chairman and CEO | sale | $3.2M | 2026-06-23 |
| SUI | SHIFFMAN GARY A | sale | $3.0M | 2026-06-24 |
| NONE | JANUS HENDERSON INVESTORS US LLC | sale | $2.9M | 2026-06-22 |
| PSEC | Barry John F CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | purchase | $2.3M | 2026-06-23 |
| LEA | SCOTT RAYMOND E President and CEO | sale | $2.2M | 2026-06-24 |
| RPRX | Hite Christopher EVP & Chairman, Partnering | sale | $1.8M | 2026-06-23 |
| PGR | KELLY JEFFREY D | sale | $1.5M | 2026-06-24 |
| ECAT | Saba Capital Management, L.P. | sale | $1.4M | 2026-06-23 |
| UTHR | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A Chairperson & CEO | exercise | $1.3M | 2026-06-24 |
| ETSY | Silverman Josh Director | exercise | $1.0M | 2026-06-24 |
| WGRX | AJJARAPU SURENDRA K | grant | $1.0M | 2026-03-31 |
| WGRX | Patel Prashant Chief Executive Officer | grant | $1.0M | 2026-03-31 |
8-K items
Multiple 8-K filings for changes in control, accounting changes, and delistings, with high materiality.
| Company | Item | Materiality | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|
| TMS | Item 5.01 TMS - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant | 1.00 | 2026-06-25 |
| TMS | Item 4.01 TMS - 4.01 - Changes in Registrant's Certifying Accountant | 1.00 | 2026-06-25 |
| HRTX | Item 3.01 HRTX - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-06-25 |
| CWAN | Item 5.01 CWAN - 5.01 - Changes in Control of Registrant | 1.00 | 2026-06-25 |
| CWAN | Item 3.01 CWAN - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 1.00 | 2026-06-25 |
| TMS | Item 5.06 TMS - 5.06 - Change in Shell Company Status | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| TMS | Item 2.01 TMS - 2.01 - Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| LGND | Item 2.03 LGND - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| None | Item 1.05 None - 1.05 - Material Cybersecurity Incidents | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| TSNDF | Item 2.03 TSNDF - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| — | Item 2.03 CNH Industrial Capital LLC - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| DVN | Item 2.03 DVN - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| FND | Item 2.03 FND - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| “NFE” | Item 2.03 “NFE” - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| PSA | Item 2.03 PSA - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| — | Item 3.01 Global Interactive Technologies, Inc. (0001911545) (Filer) - 3.01 - Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| — | Item 2.03 WESTERN MIDSTREAM OPERATING, LP - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| GXAI | Item 2.01 GXAI - 2.01 - Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| WES | Item 2.03 WES - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
| INGR | Item 2.03 INGR - 2.03 - Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant | 0.95 | 2026-06-25 |
SEC filings radar
Notable 13D/G filings and Form 144 filings for large proposed share sales.
| Kind | Ticker | Filing | Detail | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13D/G | — | C3is Inc. - SC_13D C3is Inc. | 82.9% stake | 2026-06-22 |
| 13D/G | — | Blackstone Private Real Estate Credit & Income Fund - SC_13D Blackstone Private Real Estate Credit & Income Fund | 69.7% stake | 2026-06-23 |
| 13D/G | — | Made in USA Inc. - SC_13D Made in USA Inc. | 46.9% stake | 2025-08-26 |
| 13D/G | — | Imperial Petroleum Inc. - SC_13D Imperial Petroleum Inc. | 31.9% stake | 2026-06-22 |
| Form 144 | — | Broadcom Inc. - D95GT, LLC Broadcom Inc. | $130.0M proposed sale | 2026-06-25 |
| Form 144 | — | Broadcom Inc. - H&S INVESTMENTS I LP Broadcom Inc. | $120.0M proposed sale | 2026-06-25 |
| Form 144 | — | Broadcom Inc. - Samueli Foundation Broadcom Inc. | $71.2M proposed sale | 2026-06-25 |
| Form 144 | — | ROIVANT SCIENCES LTD. - MAYUKH SUKHATME ROIVANT SCIENCES LTD. | $17.1M proposed sale | 2026-06-25 |
| 13F | — | First Nebraska Trust Co - 13F First Nebraska Trust Co | $764.1M portfolio, 175 positions | 2021-09-30 |
| 13F | — | Hamilton Wealth, LLC - 13F Hamilton Wealth, LLC | $513.5M portfolio, 111 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | Paladin Partners, LLC - 13F Paladin Partners, LLC | $138.7M portfolio, 212 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | Paladin Partners, LLC - 13F Paladin Partners, LLC | $134.2M portfolio, 216 positions | 2025-12-31 |
| Financial report | — | JERSEY CENTRAL POWER & LIGHT CO (0000053456) (Filer) - 8-K JERSEY CENTRAL POWER & LIGHT CO (0000053456) (Filer) | — | 2026-06-25 |
| Financial report | — | Aeon Acquisition I Corp. (0002082526) (Filer) - 8-K Aeon Acquisition I Corp. (0002082526) (Filer) | — | 2026-06-25 |
| Financial report | ATIIU | ATIIU - 8-K Archimedes Tech SPAC Partners II Co. | — | 2026-06-25 |
| Financial report | RKTO | RKTO - 8-K Rocket One Inc. | — | 2026-06-25 |
Prediction markets
Highly uncertain prediction markets for the 2026 FIFA World Cup with low probabilities for most teams.
| Question | Yes | Volume | Platform | Snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $158.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $152.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $142.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $137.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6.2% | $125.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 15:54 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2.2% | $123.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 15:54 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 17.9% | $122.4M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 15:54 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1.8% | $121.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 15:54 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $119.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $111.7M | polymarket | 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 38.6% | $108.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 15:54 UTC |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.5M | polymarket | 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.4M | polymarket | 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $104.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $102.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 16.5% | $99.0M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 15:54 UTC |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $96.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-01 06:48 UTC |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $96.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-01 21:08 UTC |
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