Daily market brief: May 5, 2026
QuantConomy Daily digest
Strong bullish signals are evident in CFX/BTC and CFX/USDC, with significant insider buying in PSUS and UTHR, while ATEC and SBEV filings indicate substantial material events. Prediction markets show a strong consensus on a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and a moderate to strong support for France and Argentina to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Signals
- 19
- Insider trades
- 20
- SEC filings
- 16
- Prediction markets
- 20
- News
- 20
Strongest signals
Strong signals include sustained volume dry-ups and overbought/oversold RSI conditions, with notable bullish and bearish events from insider trades and SEC filings.
| Asset | Signal | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| slightly bearish volume | 100 | DOT/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 2% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 1.09% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | CFX/BTC uptrend (gain): price 5.26% (strength 100, current 8e-7) | |
| Alphatec Inc | bullish corporate event | 100 | ATEC filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Earnings Release - 4 material events - [very strong bullish signal] |
| very bearish technical | 97 | CETUS/USDT RSI overbought at 96.9 (>70), strength 97 | |
| Pershing Square USA, Ltd | very bullish insider trade | 85 | Cluster buying detected: 7 insider trades for PSUS worth $1.7500000010000048e+47M total - 96000000 shares - [very strong very bullish signal] |
| slightly bearish volume | 100 | EPIC/USDT sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 0.85% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | CFX/USDC uptrend (gain): price 7.61% (strength 100, current 0.06703) | |
| SPLASH BEVERAGE INC | very bearish corporate event | 100 | SBEV filed 8-K: Material Definitive Agreement, Termination of Material Agreement, Delisting Notice - 5 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bullish technical | 95 | TRUMP/USDT RSI oversold at 4.8 (<30), strength 95 | |
| UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp | slightly bullish insider trade | 60 | ROTHBLATT MARTINE A (Chairperson & CEO, Director) exercised options for UTHR shares ($1.39M) - 9500 shares - [moderate slightly bullish signal] |
| slightly bearish volume | 100 | XAI/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price down 0.71% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | ZEC/BTC uptrend (gain): price 6.10% (strength 100, current 0.0063134) | |
| very bearish corporate event | 100 | FARM filed 8-K: Termination of Material Agreement, Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice - 7 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] | |
| very bearish technical | 94 | LUNC/TRY RSI overbought at 93.9 (>70), strength 94 | |
| UNITED THERAPEUTICS Corp | slightly bullish insider trade | 60 | EDGEMOND JAMES (CFO AND TREASURER) exercised options for UTHR shares ($1.35M) - 10000 shares - [moderate slightly bullish signal] |
| neutral volume | 100 | VELODROME/USDC sustained volume dry-up: 0% of expected volume for Tuesday 23:00 UTC, price flat 0.23% (strength 100) | |
| very bullish price | 100 | NOT/USDT uptrend (gain): price 6.11% (strength 100, current 0.000521) | |
| Terns Pharmaceuticals Inc | very bearish corporate event | 100 | TERN filed 8-K: Acquisition or Disposition, Delisting Notice, Modification to Rights of Security Holders - 6 material events - [very strong very bearish signal] |
| very bearish technical | 93 | RUNE/USDC RSI overbought at 92.7 (>70), strength 93 |
Insider filings
Insider filings show significant sales and exercises of stock options, with large transactions from key executives and institutions.
| Ticker | Insider | Type | Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSUS | Pershing Square Management, LLC Director | grant | $4.8B | 2026-04-30 |
| PAYX | GOLISANO B THOMAS | gift | $15.3M | 2026-05-04 |
| N/A | Invesco Realty, Inc. | grant | $7.5M | 2026-05-01 |
| AR | Kennedy Michael N. See Remarks | sale | $6.7M | 2026-05-04 |
| OSIS | CHOPRA DEEPAK Director | sale | $5.6M | 2026-05-04 |
| PTEN | Drummond Robert Wayne Jr | sale | $3.9M | 2026-05-01 |
| TTMI | EDMAN THOMAS T Director | sale | $2.6M | 2026-05-01 |
| CINF | Sewell Michael J CFO, EVP & Treasurer | exercise | $2.6M | 2026-05-01 |
| N/A | Invesco Advisers, Inc. | grant | $2.2M | 2026-05-01 |
| AM | Kennedy Michael N. See Remarks | sale | $2.2M | 2026-05-04 |
| GS | SOLOMON DAVID M Chairman of the Board and CEO | sale | $2.1M | 2026-05-01 |
| GS | FREDMAN SHEARA J Chief Accounting Officer | sale | $2.0M | 2026-05-01 |
| CYTK | Lee Sung EVP, Chief Financial Officer | sale | $1.8M | 2026-05-05 |
| ECAT | Saba Capital Management, L.P. | sale | $1.7M | 2026-05-04 |
| CSTM | Hoffmann Philippe President, A&T | sale | $1.6M | 2026-05-01 |
| AR | Schultz Yvette K See Remarks | sale | $1.5M | 2026-05-04 |
| AM | Schultz Yvette K See Remarks | sale | $1.5M | 2026-05-04 |
| NUE | Hanners Noah C Executive Vice President | sale | $1.5M | 2026-05-01 |
| GNRC | Jagdfeld Aaron Chief Executive Officer | sale | $1.3M | 2026-05-01 |
| NUE | Needham Daniel R. Executive Vice President | sale | $1.2M | 2026-05-01 |
SEC filings radar
SEC filings include substantial stakes in companies and detailed financial reports, with major players like UBS and Fisher Asset Management reporting large portfolios.
| Kind | Ticker | Filing | Detail | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13D/G | — | Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II - SC_13D Invesco Advantage Municipal Income Trust II | 100% stake | 2026-04-30 |
| 13D/G | — | Z Squared Inc. - SC_13D Z Squared Inc. | 80.73% stake | 2026-04-24 |
| 13D/G | — | Little Harbor Advisors, LLC - SC_13G Little Harbor Advisors, LLC | 71.65% stake | 2026-04-30 |
| 13D/G | — | American Strategic Investment Co. - SC_13D American Strategic Investment Co. | 68.7% stake | 2026-04-30 |
| Form 144 | — | AMAZON.COM, INC. - DAY 1 ACADEMIES AMAZON.COM, INC. | $60.6M proposed sale | 2026-05-05 |
| Form 144 | — | CoreWeave, Inc. - MICHAEL INTRATOR CoreWeave, Inc. | $25.1M proposed sale | 2026-05-05 |
| Form 144 | — | COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC. - BRIAN E LANE COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC. | $21.9M proposed sale | 2026-05-05 |
| Form 144 | — | Luckin Coffee Inc. - Camel Zhengkai Limited Luckin Coffee Inc. | $18.4M proposed sale | 2026-05-05 |
| 13F | — | UBS Group AG - 13F UBS Group AG | $666.3B portfolio, 22771 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | Bank of New York Mellon Corp - 13F Bank of New York Mellon Corp | $543.9B portfolio, 33728 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | Fisher Asset Management, LLC - 13F Fisher Asset Management, LLC | $294.9B portfolio, 1016 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| 13F | — | IMC-Chicago, LLC - 13F IMC-Chicago, LLC | $278.4B portfolio, 6112 positions | 2026-03-31 |
| Financial report | OPLN | OPLN - 10-Q - Q1 OPENLANE, Inc. | Q1 2026 | 2026-05-05 |
| Financial report | KBR | KBR - 10-Q - Q1 KBR, Inc. | Q1 2026 | 2026-05-05 |
| Financial report | — | SHARING ECONOMY INTERNATIONAL INC. - 10-Q - Q1 SHARING ECONOMY INTERNATIONAL INC. | Q1 2024 | 2026-05-05 |
| Financial report | MTB | MTB - 10-Q - Q1 M&T BANK CORPORATION | Q1 2026 | 2026-05-05 |
Prediction markets
Prediction markets are dominated by low probabilities for most World Cup outcomes, with France and Argentina having higher chances, while ceasefire bets have near-certain outcomes.
| Question | Yes | Volume | Platform | Snapshot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 0.3% | $363.8M | polymarket | 2026-06-03 23:59 UTC |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $158.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 21:31 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $152.3M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $142.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 05:09 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 100% | $138.4M | polymarket | 2026-05-09 19:34 UTC |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $137.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-06 06:00 UTC |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2.2% | $125.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6.2% | $125.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 18% | $122.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1.8% | $121.6M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $119.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 03:43 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $111.7M | polymarket | 2026-06-30 21:52 UTC |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.5M | polymarket | 2026-07-03 04:04 UTC |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $109.1M | polymarket | 2026-07-07 00:13 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 38.6% | $108.8M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.5M | polymarket | 2026-06-28 04:49 UTC |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $107.4M | polymarket | 2026-07-05 02:12 UTC |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $104.7M | polymarket | 2026-07-08 01:58 UTC |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | $102.9M | polymarket | 2026-07-04 22:14 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 16.7% | $99.2M | polymarket | 2026-07-10 18:06 UTC |
In the news
Asset-linked headlines published in this window, newest first.
- 2026-05-05 globalaustralian
- 2026-05-05 australianglobalwarehouse
- 2026-05-05 avax
- positive2026-05-05 msci-inc
- 2026-05-05 meta-platforms-inc
- 2026-05-05 pinterest-inc
- 2026-05-05 amazon-com-inc
- negative2026-05-05 alphabet-inc
- 2026-05-05 live-ventures-inc
- 2026-05-05 founder
- 2026-05-05 australian
- 2026-05-05 bitcoin
- negative2026-05-05 chakana-copper-corp
- 2026-05-05 universal-mfg-co
- 2026-05-05 snap-inc
- 2026-05-05 microstrategy-inc
- 2026-05-05 power
- 2026-05-05 onto-innovation-inc
- 2026-05-05 evolve-us-banks-enhanced-yield-fundfounder
- 2026-05-05 solana
Generated automatically from live QuantConomy data. Every row is a real platform record;
the summary is model-written from those rows. Not investment advice.
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